Aspen Technology Stock Analysis

AZPN Stock  USD 250.00  0.40  0.16%   
Aspen Technology is overvalued with Real Value of 236.26 and Target Price of 201.83. The main objective of Aspen Technology stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Aspen Technology is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Aspen Technology's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Aspen Technology stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Aspen Technology is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. Aspen Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aspen Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Aspen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aspen Technology guide.

Aspen Stock Analysis Notes

About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aspen Technology recorded a loss per share of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of August 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of March 1997. Aspen Technology, Inc. provides enterprise asset performance management, asset performance monitoring, and asset optimization solutions worldwide. Aspen Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts. Aspen Technology operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3700 people. For more info on Aspen Technology please contact Antonio Pietri at 781 221 6400 or go to https://www.aspentech.com.

Aspen Technology Quarterly Total Revenue

215.88 Million

Aspen Technology Investment Alerts

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 331.87 M.
Aspen Technology has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from aol.com: Aspen Technology forms committee to evaluate Emersons offer

Aspen Technology Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Aspen Technology to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of August 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Aspen Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aspen Technology's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-11-01
2011-09-30-0.08-0.09-0.0112 
2005-03-15
2004-12-310.050.04-0.0120 
2004-04-29
2004-03-310.050.060.0120 
View All Earnings Estimates

Aspen Technology Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Aspen Technology's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Aspen Technology's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Aspen Technology's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Aspen Technology's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Aspen Technology Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Aspen Technology stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Macroaxis Index Idea
Macroaxis Index
Macroaxis power theme of selected equities with solid fundamentals

Aspen Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Independent Franchise Partners Llp2024-09-30
555.6 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
552.5 K
Lazard Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
527 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
526.7 K
Bamco Inc2024-09-30
468 K
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
456.1 K
Fiera Capital Corporation2024-06-30
340.2 K
Valley Forge Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
295.5 K
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
282 K
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc2024-06-30
4.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Note, although Aspen Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aspen Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 15.84 B.

Aspen Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.41) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.41.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed(0.01)(0.01)

Management Efficiency

As of the 28th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.006. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.0068. At this time, Aspen Technology's Intangibles To Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 17.72, while Other Current Assets are likely to drop about 22.9 M. Aspen Technology's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Aspen Technology manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 201.11  211.16 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.71  4.94 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 30.90  32.45 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.98  1.32 
Enterprise Value Multiple 30.90  32.45 
Price Fair Value 0.98  1.32 
Enterprise Value9.6 B10.1 B
Effective leadership at Aspen Technology drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Dividend Yield
0.0099
Operating Margin
(0.41)
Profit Margin
(0.03)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0099
Beta
0.761

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Aspen Technology shows the Mean Deviation of 1.02, risk adjusted performance of 0.1404, and Downside Deviation of 1.36. Aspen Technology technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Aspen Technology Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Aspen Technology middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Aspen Technology. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Aspen Technology Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Aspen Technology insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Aspen Technology's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Aspen Technology insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Stagno Christopher over a month ago
Disposition of 185 shares by Stagno Christopher of Aspen Technology at 237.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
David Baker over two months ago
Disposition of 832 shares by David Baker of Aspen Technology at 234.14 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Antonio Pietri over two months ago
Acquisition by Antonio Pietri of 24819 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
David Baker over three months ago
Acquisition by David Baker of 4002 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mark Mouritsen over three months ago
Disposition of 207 shares by Mark Mouritsen of Aspen Technology at 197.89 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Baker David John over three months ago
Acquisition by Baker David John of 2076 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Baker David John over three months ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Baker David John of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Antonio Pietri over six months ago
Disposition of 4762 shares by Antonio Pietri of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Whelan, Jr. Robert M. over six months ago
Disposition of 2333 shares by Whelan, Jr. Robert M. of Aspen Technology at 48.76 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Henshall David J over six months ago
Acquisition by Henshall David J of 988 shares of Aspen Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Stagno Christopher over six months ago
Disposition of 103 shares by Stagno Christopher of Aspen Technology at 207.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Antonio Pietri over a year ago
Sale by Antonio Pietri of 5188 shares of Aspen Technology

Aspen Technology Outstanding Bonds

Aspen Technology issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Aspen Technology uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Aspen bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Aspen Technology has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Aspen Technology Predictive Daily Indicators

Aspen Technology intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Aspen Technology stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Aspen Technology Corporate Filings

20th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
6th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
5th of November 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
ViewVerify
8K
4th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
25th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
24th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
22nd of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

Aspen Technology Forecast Models

Aspen Technology's time-series forecasting models are one of many Aspen Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspen Technology's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Aspen Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Aspen Technology prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Aspen shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Aspen Technology. By using and applying Aspen Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Aspen entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.08)(0.08)
Net Loss(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.66  0.60 

Current Aspen Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Aspen analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Aspen analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
201.83Buy11Odds
Aspen Technology current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Aspen analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Aspen stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Aspen Technology, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Aspen conference calls.
Aspen Analyst Advice Details

Aspen Stock Analysis Indicators

Aspen Technology stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Aspen Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Aspen Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Aspen Technology stock analysis, traders can identify Aspen Technology position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow241.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity12.8 B
Capital Lease Obligations98 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net113.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments237 M
Cash237 M
50 Day M A239.2864
Net Interest Income54.2 M
Total Current Liabilities337.4 M
Forward Price Earnings34.0136
Investments-25.7 M
Stock Based Compensation57.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.7 M
Tax Provision-34.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.682
Free Cash Flow335.3 M
Other Current Assets35.9 M
Accounts Payable8.1 M
Net Debt-139 M
Other Operating Expenses1.2 B
Non Current Assets Total13.2 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity14.1 B
Non Currrent Assets Other562.3 M
When determining whether Aspen Technology offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aspen Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aspen Technology Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aspen Technology Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aspen Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Aspen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aspen Technology guide.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Technology. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspen Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.682
Earnings Share
(0.58)
Revenue Per Share
17.245
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Aspen Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspen Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspen Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aspen Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspen Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.