Alaska Air Group Stock Analysis
ALK Stock | USD 52.83 0.02 0.04% |
Alaska Air Group is overvalued with Real Value of 49.27 and Target Price of 81.57. The main objective of Alaska Air stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alaska Air Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alaska Air's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alaska Air stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Alaska |
Alaska Stock Analysis Notes
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alaska Air Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of July 2014. Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington. Alaska Air operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 22354 people. For more info on Alaska Air Group please contact Bradley Tilden at 206 392 5040 or go to https://www.alaskaair.com.Alaska Air Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Alaska Air Group Investment Alerts
Alaska Air Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Alaska Air Group has 6.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Alaska to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
Over 92.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Berry Jason M of 697 shares of Alaska Air subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Alaska Air Group Upcoming and Recent Events
18th of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
23rd of July 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
23rd of January 2025 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
31st of December 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Alaska Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alaska Air's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1997-04-21 | 1997-03-31 | -0.09 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 11 | ||
2018-04-23 | 2018-03-31 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16 | ||
2012-04-19 | 2012-03-31 | 0.18 | 0.2 | 0.02 | 11 |
Alaska Air Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
Alaska Air's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alaska Air's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alaska Air's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alaska Air's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.
Alaska Air Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Alaska Air stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
![]() | AirAir services and air delivery | |
![]() | AirlinesMajor domestic and international airlines | |
![]() | TransportationUSA Equities from Transportation industry as classified by Fama & French | |
![]() | ImpulseMacroaxis evolving impulse stocks |
Alaska Stock Institutional Investors
Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 1.3 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Barclays Plc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 15.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 13.7 M |
Alaska Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 6.5 B.Alaska Profitablity
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.03 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.05 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.05 of operating income.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
Return On Equity | 0.09 | 0.06 |
Management Efficiency
Alaska Air Group has Return on Asset of 0.0323 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0323 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0931 %, implying that it generated $0.0931 on every 100 dollars invested. Alaska Air's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alaska Air manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Alaska Air's Return On Capital Employed is quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is expected to rise to 0.02 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to 0.02. At this time, Alaska Air's Total Current Liabilities is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 20.8 B this year, although the value of Non Current Liabilities Other will most likely fall to about 499.3 M.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 34.66 | 36.39 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 6.17 | 6.18 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 10.52 | 7.91 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.87 | 1.26 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 10.52 | 7.91 | |
Price Fair Value | 1.87 | 1.26 | |
Enterprise Value | 3.6 B | 3.7 B |
The decision-making processes within Alaska Air are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Technical Drivers
As of the 23rd of March, Alaska Air shows the mean deviation of 2.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). Alaska Air Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.Alaska Air Group Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alaska Air middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alaska Air Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Alaska Air Group Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alaska Air insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alaska Air's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alaska Air insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Alaska Air Outstanding Bonds
Alaska Air issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alaska Air Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alaska bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alaska Air Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
Dana 575 percent Corp BondUS235822AB96 | View | |
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Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Alaska Air Predictive Daily Indicators
Alaska Air intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alaska Air stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Alaska Air Corporate Filings
F4 | 21st of March 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
14th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 24th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 19th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 18th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10K | 14th of February 2025 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
F4 | 11th of February 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 31st of January 2025 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Alaska Air Forecast Models
Alaska Air's time-series forecasting models are one of many Alaska Air's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alaska Air's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Alaska Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alaska Air prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alaska shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alaska Air. By using and applying Alaska Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alaska entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.03 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.20 | 0.19 |
Current Alaska Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alaska analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alaska analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
81.57 | Strong Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most Alaska analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alaska stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alaska Air Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alaska conference calls.
Alaska Stock Analysis Indicators
Alaska Air Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alaska Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alaska Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alaska Air stock analysis, traders can identify Alaska Air position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 308 M | |
Long Term Debt | 4.5 B | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.4 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 4.4 B | |
Tax Provision | 150 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.704 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 12.1 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B | |
Cash | 1.2 B | |
Accounts Payable | 186 M | |
Net Debt | 5.2 B | |
50 Day M A | 67.3442 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 6.1 B | |
Other Operating Expenses | 11.2 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 16 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 8.7108 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 247 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 63 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alaska Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.704 | Earnings Share 3.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.384 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alaska Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alaska Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alaska Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.