Tpg Inc Stock Price Prediction

TPG Stock  USD 69.81  1.38  1.94%   
As of 28th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of TPG's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TPG, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TPG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TPG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TPG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TPG Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TPG's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.54
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9573
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.5155
Wall Street Target Price
65.9286
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.45
Using TPG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TPG Inc from the perspective of TPG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

TPG Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TPG's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TPG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TPG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TPG Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TPG's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TPG.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TPG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TPG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TPG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 70.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TPG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.0554.4976.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.3974.8377.27
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.3532.2535.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.470.490.52
Details

TPG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TPG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TPG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TPG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TPG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TPG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TPG's historical news coverage. TPG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.12 and 73.00, respectively. We have considered TPG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.81
70.56
After-hype Price
73.00
Upside
TPG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TPG Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

TPG Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TPG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TPG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
2.46
  0.73 
  0.08 
10 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.81
70.56
1.07 
189.23  
Notes

TPG Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November TPG Inc is traded for 69.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. TPG is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 70.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 189.23%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on TPG is about 1779.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.89. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.82 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 92.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 484.92 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out TPG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TPG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TPG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TPG's future price movements. Getting to know how TPG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TPG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARESAres Management LP(0.07)9 per month 1.27  0.11  2.98 (2.55) 7.35 
PAXPatria Investments 0.14 9 per month 1.27 (0.02) 2.40 (2.40) 8.14 
APOApollo Global Management(4.60)6 per month 0.86  0.27  4.26 (2.19) 12.83 
CIONCion Investment Corp 0.09 9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.41 (1.53) 5.86 
KKRKKR Co LP 1.87 8 per month 0.94  0.17  3.05 (1.76) 11.31 
BXBlackstone Group 3.91 9 per month 0.91  0.20  3.21 (2.21) 9.25 
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending 0.23 7 per month 0.98 (0.02) 1.50 (1.47) 4.68 
CGCarlyle Group 0.80 8 per month 1.32  0.16  4.10 (2.22) 13.11 
BAMBrookfield Asset Management(0.46)9 per month 0.39  0.27  3.43 (1.52) 6.27 
OWLBlue Owl Capital 0.12 13 per month 1.57  0.19  3.66 (2.80) 12.59 
AMGAffiliated Managers Group 1.51 9 per month 1.92  0.01  2.55 (1.81) 13.03 
ARCCAres Capital(0.21)10 per month 0.46 (0.02) 1.10 (0.96) 3.08 
STEPStepstone Group(0.97)8 per month 1.59  0.09  2.82 (2.12) 16.32 
MVFMunivest Fund 0.03 3 per month 0.00 (0.21) 0.83 (1.09) 2.81 
MQYBlackrock Muniyield Quality(0.02)2 per month 0.60 (0.23) 0.85 (1.07) 2.74 
FOCSFocus Financial Partners 0.03 4 per month 0.07 (1.10) 0.21 (0.17) 0.56 
FHIFederated Investors B(0.05)12 per month 0.62  0.20  2.04 (1.37) 5.65 

TPG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TPG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TPG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TPG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TPG Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TPG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TPG Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TPG based on analysis of TPG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TPG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TPG's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.440.30.190.17
Price To Sales Ratio0.431.161.910.98

Story Coverage note for TPG

The number of cover stories for TPG depends on current market conditions and TPG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TPG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TPG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TPG Short Properties

TPG's future price predictability will typically decrease when TPG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TPG Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding317.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments665.2 M

Complementary Tools for TPG Stock analysis

When running TPG's price analysis, check to measure TPG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG is operating at the current time. Most of TPG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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