Carlyle Secured Lending Stock Price Prediction
| CGBD Stock | USD 17.33 0.01 0.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9769 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7404 | Wall Street Target Price 16.6 |
Using Carlyle Secured hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlyle Secured Lending from the perspective of Carlyle Secured response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carlyle Secured to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carlyle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carlyle Secured after-hype prediction price | USD 17.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carlyle |
Carlyle Secured After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carlyle Secured at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carlyle Secured or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carlyle Secured, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carlyle Secured Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carlyle Secured's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carlyle Secured's historical news coverage. Carlyle Secured's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.32 and 18.38, respectively. We have considered Carlyle Secured's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carlyle Secured is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carlyle Secured Lending is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carlyle Secured Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carlyle Secured is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carlyle Secured backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carlyle Secured, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.03 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.33 | 17.35 | 0.12 |
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Carlyle Secured Hype Timeline
Carlyle Secured Lending is currently traded for 17.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Carlyle is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Carlyle Secured is about 75.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 202.13 M. Net Income was 92.28 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 207.26 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Carlyle Secured Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carlyle Secured Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carlyle Secured's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carlyle Secured's future price movements. Getting to know how Carlyle Secured's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carlyle Secured may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| V | Visa Class A | 2.60 | 6 per month | 1.05 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (1.30) | 7.73 | |
| DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | 1.82 | 10 per month | 1.19 | (0.04) | 2.22 | (2.05) | 9.06 | |
| DIST | Distoken Acquisition | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.37 | (0.18) | 2.25 | |
| AC | Associated Capital Group | (1.85) | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 3.02 | (2.64) | 12.11 | |
| BN | Brookfield Corp | 0.88 | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.13 | 2.45 | (1.92) | 6.44 | |
| BX | Blackstone Group | 7.51 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.20 | 3.21 | (2.21) | 9.25 | |
| CG | Carlyle Group | 1.38 | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.15 | 4.10 | (2.22) | 13.11 | |
| DB | Deutsche Bank AG | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.73 | (0.03) | 3.08 | (2.93) | 8.64 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.04 | (0.09) | 1.38 | (1.47) | 4.37 |
Carlyle Secured Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carlyle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlyle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlyle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carlyle Secured Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carlyle Secured stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carlyle Secured Lending, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlyle Secured based on analysis of Carlyle Secured hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carlyle Secured's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carlyle Secured's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.0795 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.71 | 4.87 | 3.96 |
Story Coverage note for Carlyle Secured
The number of cover stories for Carlyle Secured depends on current market conditions and Carlyle Secured's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carlyle Secured is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carlyle Secured's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Carlyle Secured Short Properties
Carlyle Secured's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carlyle Secured's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carlyle Secured Lending often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carlyle Secured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlyle Secured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Carlyle Stock analysis
When running Carlyle Secured's price analysis, check to measure Carlyle Secured's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlyle Secured is operating at the current time. Most of Carlyle Secured's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlyle Secured's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlyle Secured's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlyle Secured to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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