Tpg Inc Stock Price Prediction
| TPG Stock | USD 54.77 1.39 2.48% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5781 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4127 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1539 | Wall Street Target Price 70.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.5192 |
Using TPG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TPG Inc from the perspective of TPG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TPG using TPG's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TPG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TPG's stock price.
TPG Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in TPG's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TPG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TPG stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 55.6741 | Short Percent 0.0406 | Short Ratio 4.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.8 M | 50 Day MA 64.6027 |
TPG Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TPG's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TPG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TPG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TPG Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TPG's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TPG.
TPG Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
TPG's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TPG Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TPG's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TPG stock will not fluctuate a lot when TPG's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TPG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TPG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TPG after-hype prediction price | USD 56.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TPG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TPG Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With TPG trading at USD 54.77, that is roughly USD 0.0192 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TPG's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TPG Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
TPG |
TPG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TPG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TPG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TPG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TPG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TPG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TPG's historical news coverage. TPG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.52 and 58.44, respectively. We have considered TPG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TPG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TPG Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
TPG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TPG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TPG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.97 | 0.35 | 0.22 | 9 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
54.77 | 56.48 | 0.57 |
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TPG Hype Timeline
On the 25th of February TPG Inc is traded for 54.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. TPG is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on TPG is about 366.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.55. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.5 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (76.92 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 728.39 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out TPG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TPG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TPG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TPG's future price movements. Getting to know how TPG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TPG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
TPG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TPG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TPG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TPG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TPG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TPG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TPG Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TPG based on analysis of TPG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TPG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TPG's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.44 | 0.3 | 0.19 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.43 | 1.16 | 1.91 |
Story Coverage note for TPG
The number of cover stories for TPG depends on current market conditions and TPG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TPG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TPG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TPG Short Properties
TPG's future price predictability will typically decrease when TPG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TPG Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 364.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 808 M |
Complementary Tools for TPG Stock analysis
When running TPG's price analysis, check to measure TPG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG is operating at the current time. Most of TPG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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