Spire Global Stock Price Prediction
SPIR Stock | USD 10.94 0.72 6.17% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.34) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.20) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.60) | Wall Street Target Price 17.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.68) |
Using Spire Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spire Global from the perspective of Spire Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Spire Global using Spire Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Spire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Spire Global's stock price.
Spire Global Implied Volatility | 1.22 |
Spire Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Spire Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Spire Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Spire Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Spire Global's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spire Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spire Global after-hype prediction price | USD 10.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Spire contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Spire Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0763% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Spire Global trading at USD 10.94, that is roughly USD 0.008342 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Spire Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Spire Global options at the current volatility level of 1.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Spire |
Spire Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spire Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spire Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spire Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Spire Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spire Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spire Global's historical news coverage. Spire Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.71 and 19.17, respectively. We have considered Spire Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spire Global is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spire Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spire Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spire Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spire Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spire Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 8.23 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.94 | 10.94 | 0.00 |
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Spire Global Hype Timeline
Spire Global is at this time traded for 10.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Spire is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spire Global is about 3218.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.01. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Spire Global was at this time reported as 3.51. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.45. Spire Global had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 31st of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Spire Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spire Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spire Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spire Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Spire Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spire Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
LICN | Lichen China Limited | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 9.86 | (22.45) | 82.77 | |
PFSW | PFSweb Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
SP | SP Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
UNF | Unifirst | 3.64 | 11 per month | 1.48 | 0.05 | 3.16 | (2.81) | 24.07 | |
FA | First Advantage Corp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.03 | 2.96 | (2.67) | 8.94 | |
PFMT | PFMT Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | (0.01) | 4 per month | 1.89 | 0.03 | 3.08 | (2.94) | 9.55 | |
RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | 0.18 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 2.13 | (2.63) | 6.84 | |
WHLM | Wilhelmina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
MADGF | Mader Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.04 | |
MMS | Maximus | 0.37 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.24 | (2.51) | 10.72 | |
CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.21 | 5 per month | 1.13 | 0.07 | 3.39 | (2.10) | 7.29 | |
CASS | Cass Information Systems | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.56 | (2.62) | 8.64 | |
BV | BrightView Holdings | (0.75) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.65 | (3.65) | 12.43 |
Spire Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Spire Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spire Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spire Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spire Global based on analysis of Spire Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spire Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spire Global's related companies. 2024 | 2025 (projected) | |
Payables Turnover | 6.09 | 10.45 |
Days Of Inventory On Hand | 24.71 | 21.27 |
Story Coverage note for Spire Global
The number of cover stories for Spire Global depends on current market conditions and Spire Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spire Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spire Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spire Global Short Properties
Spire Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spire Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spire Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spire Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spire Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.9 M |
Additional Tools for Spire Stock Analysis
When running Spire Global's price analysis, check to measure Spire Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spire Global is operating at the current time. Most of Spire Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spire Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spire Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spire Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.