Lichen China Limited Stock Price Prediction
| LICN Stock | 1.86 0.10 5.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 |
Using Lichen China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lichen China Limited from the perspective of Lichen China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lichen China to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lichen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lichen China after-hype prediction price | USD 1.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lichen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lichen China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lichen China After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lichen China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lichen China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lichen China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lichen China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lichen China's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lichen China's historical news coverage. Lichen China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 7.67, respectively. We have considered Lichen China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lichen China is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lichen China Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lichen China Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lichen China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lichen China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lichen China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 5.81 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.86 | 1.86 | 0.00 |
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Lichen China Hype Timeline
Lichen China Limited is now traded for 1.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Lichen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lichen China is about 1909.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.83. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lichen China Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Lichen China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lichen China Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lichen China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lichen China's future price movements. Getting to know how Lichen China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lichen China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Lichen China Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lichen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lichen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lichen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lichen China Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lichen China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lichen China Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lichen China based on analysis of Lichen China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lichen China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lichen China's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0389 | 0.0387 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 1.23 |
Story Coverage note for Lichen China
The number of cover stories for Lichen China depends on current market conditions and Lichen China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lichen China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lichen China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lichen China Short Properties
Lichen China's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lichen China's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lichen China Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lichen China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lichen China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.9 M |
Check out Lichen China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lichen China. If investors know Lichen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lichen China listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 1.491 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.136 | Return On Assets 0.1078 |
The market value of Lichen China Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lichen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lichen China's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lichen China's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lichen China's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lichen China's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lichen China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lichen China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lichen China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.