Brightview Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BV Stock | USD 17.10 0.14 0.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.018 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.76 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.86 | Wall Street Target Price 17.9875 |
Using BrightView Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BrightView Holdings from the perspective of BrightView Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BrightView Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BrightView because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BrightView Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 16.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BrightView |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrightView Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BrightView Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BrightView Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BrightView Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BrightView Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BrightView Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BrightView Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BrightView Holdings' historical news coverage. BrightView Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.30 and 19.54, respectively. We have considered BrightView Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BrightView Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BrightView Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
BrightView Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BrightView Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BrightView Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BrightView Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.62 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.10 | 16.92 | 1.05 |
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BrightView Holdings Hype Timeline
As of November 30, 2024 BrightView Holdings is listed for 17.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. BrightView is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on BrightView Holdings is about 1746.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.07. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BrightView Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out BrightView Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BrightView Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BrightView Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BrightView Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how BrightView Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BrightView Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.88 | (4.37) | 32.25 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.13 | (3.21) | 11.82 | |
| MMS | Maximus | 0.82 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.91 | (2.50) | 10.19 | |
| CBZ | CBIZ Inc | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 2.78 | (2.49) | 9.49 | |
| FA | First Advantage Corp | (0.58) | 9 per month | 1.63 | (0.05) | 3.63 | (3.01) | 9.66 | |
| RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | (0.34) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.40 | (2.69) | 22.43 | |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems | (2.11) | 9 per month | 1.59 | (0.02) | 2.92 | (2.97) | 9.44 | |
| PFSW | PFSweb Inc | 0.01 | 4 per month | 2.81 | 0.02 | 5.84 | (5.09) | 17.10 | |
| DPUI | Discount Print USA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.60 | 0.05 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 133.33 |
BrightView Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BrightView price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BrightView using various technical indicators. When you analyze BrightView charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BrightView Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BrightView Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BrightView Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BrightView Holdings based on analysis of BrightView Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BrightView Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BrightView Holdings's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 70.05 | 69.43 | 75.93 | 72.94 | PTB Ratio | 1.16 | 0.64 | 0.42 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for BrightView Holdings
The number of cover stories for BrightView Holdings depends on current market conditions and BrightView Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BrightView Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BrightView Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BrightView Holdings Short Properties
BrightView Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when BrightView Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BrightView Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BrightView Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BrightView Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140.4 M |
Additional Tools for BrightView Stock Analysis
When running BrightView Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BrightView Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BrightView Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BrightView Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BrightView Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BrightView Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BrightView Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.