Sweetgreen Stock Price Prediction

SG Stock  USD 23.38  0.97  4.33%   
As of 27th of February 2025, the relative strength indicator of Sweetgreen's share price is approaching 30. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sweetgreen, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sweetgreen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sweetgreen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sweetgreen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sweetgreen, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sweetgreen's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.41)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.25)
Wall Street Target Price
40.4
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.13)
Using Sweetgreen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sweetgreen from the perspective of Sweetgreen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sweetgreen using Sweetgreen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sweetgreen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sweetgreen's stock price.

Sweetgreen Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sweetgreen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sweetgreen. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sweetgreen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
32.5908
Short Percent
0.1892
Short Ratio
5.46
Shares Short Prior Month
15 M
50 Day MA
31.1432

Sweetgreen Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sweetgreen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sweetgreen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sweetgreen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sweetgreen. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sweetgreen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sweetgreen.

Sweetgreen Implied Volatility

    
  1.03  
Sweetgreen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sweetgreen stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sweetgreen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sweetgreen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sweetgreen's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sweetgreen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sweetgreen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sweetgreen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sweetgreen contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sweetgreen will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Sweetgreen trading at USD 23.38, that is roughly USD 0.0151 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sweetgreen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sweetgreen options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Sweetgreen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Sweetgreen Stock please use our How to Invest in Sweetgreen guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0427.9532.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0122.3426.67
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.9541.7046.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.24-0.16-0.1
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sweetgreen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sweetgreen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sweetgreen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sweetgreen.

Sweetgreen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sweetgreen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sweetgreen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sweetgreen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sweetgreen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sweetgreen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sweetgreen's historical news coverage. Sweetgreen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.10 and 27.76, respectively. We have considered Sweetgreen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.38
23.43
After-hype Price
27.76
Upside
Sweetgreen is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sweetgreen is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sweetgreen Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sweetgreen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sweetgreen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sweetgreen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.92 
4.33
  0.05 
  0.90 
8 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.38
23.43
0.21 
8,660  
Notes

Sweetgreen Hype Timeline

As of February 27, 2025 Sweetgreen is listed for 23.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.9. Sweetgreen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.43 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.92%. The volatility of related hype on Sweetgreen is about 442.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.48. The company generated the yearly revenue of 584.04 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (113.38 M) with gross profit of 132.88 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Sweetgreen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Sweetgreen Stock please use our How to Invest in Sweetgreen guide.

Sweetgreen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sweetgreen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sweetgreen's future price movements. Getting to know how Sweetgreen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sweetgreen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNNECannae Holdings 0.23 7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.69 (2.14) 5.48 
EATBrinker International(1.81)9 per month 2.30  0.12  5.45 (4.85) 21.93 
RUTHRuths Hospitality Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JACKJack In The 0.86 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.56 (4.81) 12.91 
BHBiglari Holdings(4.96)9 per month 2.38  0.09  3.94 (3.98) 16.56 
WINGWingstop(7.43)7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.77 (5.29) 17.93 
PZZAPapa Johns International 1.97 11 per month 2.66  0.04  5.40 (4.87) 22.77 
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill(0.49)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.82 (2.80) 9.43 
WENThe Wendys Co 0.62 8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.47 (2.66) 6.91 
DPZDominos Pizza Common(0.59)8 per month 1.47  0.08  3.48 (3.02) 7.78 
BJRIBJs Restaurants 0.53 8 per month 2.03  0.07  3.44 (3.27) 11.88 
SHAKShake Shack(4.18)7 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.21 (3.95) 23.18 
BROSDutch Bros(0.37)9 per month 1.99  0.16  5.64 (3.48) 36.33 
BLMNBloomin Brands(0.24)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.62 (4.23) 15.29 
CHUYChuys Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DENNDennys Corp 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.75 (5.53) 30.21 

Sweetgreen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sweetgreen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sweetgreen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sweetgreen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sweetgreen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sweetgreen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sweetgreen, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sweetgreen based on analysis of Sweetgreen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sweetgreen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sweetgreen's related companies.
 2020 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover36.827.7431.933.37
Days Of Inventory On Hand0.991.571.411.0

Story Coverage note for Sweetgreen

The number of cover stories for Sweetgreen depends on current market conditions and Sweetgreen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sweetgreen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sweetgreen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sweetgreen Short Properties

Sweetgreen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sweetgreen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sweetgreen often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sweetgreen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sweetgreen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments257.2 M

Complementary Tools for Sweetgreen Stock analysis

When running Sweetgreen's price analysis, check to measure Sweetgreen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sweetgreen is operating at the current time. Most of Sweetgreen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sweetgreen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sweetgreen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sweetgreen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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