Sweetgreen Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SG Stock | USD 40.98 1.45 3.42% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sweetgreen on the next trading day is expected to be 46.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.93. Sweetgreen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sweetgreen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Sweetgreen |
Sweetgreen Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Sweetgreen's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 244.6 M | Current Value 234.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 111.7 M |
Sweetgreen Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sweetgreen on the next trading day is expected to be 46.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 3.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sweetgreen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sweetgreen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sweetgreen Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sweetgreen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sweetgreen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sweetgreen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.41 and 50.06, respectively. We have considered Sweetgreen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sweetgreen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sweetgreen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3367 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3759 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0368 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 83.9301 |
Predictive Modules for Sweetgreen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sweetgreen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sweetgreen
For every potential investor in Sweetgreen, whether a beginner or expert, Sweetgreen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sweetgreen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sweetgreen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sweetgreen's price trends.View Sweetgreen Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sweetgreen Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sweetgreen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sweetgreen's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Sweetgreen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sweetgreen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sweetgreen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sweetgreen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sweetgreen entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 72925.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.68) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 41.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 41.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.45) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.7 |
Sweetgreen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sweetgreen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sweetgreen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sweetgreen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Variance | 15.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sweetgreen to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Sweetgreen Stock please use our How to Invest in Sweetgreen guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sweetgreen. If investors know Sweetgreen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sweetgreen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share 5.896 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.18) |
The market value of Sweetgreen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sweetgreen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sweetgreen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sweetgreen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sweetgreen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sweetgreen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sweetgreen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sweetgreen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sweetgreen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.