Dutch Bros Stock Price Prediction
| BROS Stock | USD 54.39 0.11 0.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
79
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.569 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4466 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5438 | Wall Street Target Price 50.4167 |
Using Dutch Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dutch Bros from the perspective of Dutch Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dutch Bros using Dutch Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dutch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dutch Bros' stock price.
Dutch Bros Short Interest
An investor who is long Dutch Bros may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dutch Bros and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dutch Bros with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.4181 | Short Percent 0.089 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.5 M | 50 Day MA 39.1038 |
Dutch Bros Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dutch Bros' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dutch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dutch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dutch Bros. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dutch Bros' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dutch Bros.
Dutch Bros Implied Volatility | 0.18 |
Dutch Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dutch Bros stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dutch Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dutch Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dutch Bros' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dutch Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dutch because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dutch Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 56.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dutch contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dutch Bros will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0113% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Dutch Bros trading at USD 54.39, that is roughly USD 0.006119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dutch Bros' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dutch Bros options at the current volatility level of 0.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Dutch |
Dutch Bros After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dutch Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dutch Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dutch Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dutch Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dutch Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dutch Bros' historical news coverage. Dutch Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.56 and 60.76, respectively. We have considered Dutch Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dutch Bros is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dutch Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dutch Bros Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dutch Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dutch Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dutch Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.92 | 4.10 | 2.27 | 0.38 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
54.39 | 56.66 | 4.17 |
|
Dutch Bros Hype Timeline
Dutch Bros is currently traded for 54.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. Dutch is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 165.99%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.92%. The volatility of related hype on Dutch Bros is about 1000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.77. Dutch Bros currently holds about 35.6 M in cash with 139.91 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.61. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Dutch Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dutch Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dutch Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dutch Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Dutch Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dutch Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| H | Hyatt Hotels | 1.83 | 9 per month | 2.02 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (3.06) | 11.34 | |
| EM | Smart Share Global | 0.00 | 4 per month | 2.87 | 0.04 | 7.04 | (5.26) | 36.17 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.13 | 2.63 | (1.91) | 12.06 | |
| WW | WW International | (0.15) | 11 per month | 5.66 | 0.11 | 19.23 | (10.78) | 63.34 | |
| DNUT | Krispy Kreme | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.30 | (3.41) | 9.13 |
Dutch Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dutch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dutch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dutch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dutch Bros Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dutch Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dutch Bros, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dutch Bros based on analysis of Dutch Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dutch Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dutch Bros's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.084 | 0.0756 | 0.0794 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.1 | 2.04 | 1.93 |
Story Coverage note for Dutch Bros
The number of cover stories for Dutch Bros depends on current market conditions and Dutch Bros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dutch Bros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dutch Bros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Dutch Bros Short Properties
Dutch Bros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dutch Bros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dutch Bros often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dutch Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dutch Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 133.5 M |
Additional Tools for Dutch Stock Analysis
When running Dutch Bros' price analysis, check to measure Dutch Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dutch Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Dutch Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dutch Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dutch Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dutch Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.