Premier Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction

PFC Stock  USD 27.91  0.47  1.71%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Premier Financial's stock price is about 60 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Premier, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Premier Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Premier Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Premier Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.0775
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.2775
Wall Street Target Price
26.5833
Using Premier Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Premier Financial Corp from the perspective of Premier Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Premier Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Premier because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Premier Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Premier Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7025.2630.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.6427.2029.76
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.6123.7526.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.570.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Premier Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Premier Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Premier Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Premier Financial Corp.

Premier Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Premier Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Premier Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Premier Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Premier Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Premier Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Premier Financial's historical news coverage. Premier Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.46 and 30.58, respectively. We have considered Premier Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.91
28.02
After-hype Price
30.58
Upside
Premier Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Premier Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Premier Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Premier Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Premier Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Premier Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.54
  0.11 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.91
28.02
0.39 
651.28  
Notes

Premier Financial Hype Timeline

On the 5th of December Premier Financial Corp is traded for 27.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Premier is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Premier Financial is about 1570.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.87. The company reported the last year's revenue of 300.56 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 111.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 288.77 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Premier Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Premier Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Premier Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Premier Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Premier Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Premier Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BWFGBankwell Financial Group(0.25)7 per month 1.79  0.03  3.38 (2.42) 17.30 
MBCNMiddlefield Banc 0.04 6 per month 2.48  0.02  3.93 (2.91) 17.45 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.23)7 per month 0.96  0.16  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FRSTPrimis Financial Corp(0.12)8 per month 1.62 (0.01) 2.77 (3.05) 18.73 
HBCPHome Bancorp(0.68)9 per month 1.65  0.06  3.67 (2.82) 10.26 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares(0.68)5 per month 1.69 (0.02) 2.87 (3.47) 18.54 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.18)9 per month 1.75  0.02  3.41 (3.32) 19.09 
BKSCBank of South 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.77 (2.79) 6.92 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.76  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial(0.08)8 per month 1.36  0.02  2.85 (2.63) 20.14 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.06 8 per month 1.60  0.05  2.91 (2.17) 19.67 
QCRHQCR Holdings 0.62 5 per month 1.28  0.06  3.50 (2.69) 16.24 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.11)7 per month 0.48 (0.21) 0.79 (0.78) 4.44 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial(0.61)20 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.10  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 2.35 (0.04) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.08  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 

Premier Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Premier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Premier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Premier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Premier Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Premier Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Premier Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Premier Financial based on analysis of Premier Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Premier Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Premier Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0340.04450.054
Price To Sales Ratio3.733.155.01

Story Coverage note for Premier Financial

The number of cover stories for Premier Financial depends on current market conditions and Premier Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Premier Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Premier Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Premier Financial Short Properties

Premier Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Premier Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Premier Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Premier Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments114.8 M

Complementary Tools for Premier Stock analysis

When running Premier Financial's price analysis, check to measure Premier Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Premier Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Premier Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Premier Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Premier Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Premier Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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