Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Price Prediction
| NREF Stock | USD 16.45 0.05 0.30% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.067 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.04 | Wall Street Target Price 16.25 |
Using Nexpoint Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nexpoint Real Estate from the perspective of Nexpoint Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nexpoint Real using Nexpoint Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nexpoint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nexpoint Real's stock price.
Nexpoint Real Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Nexpoint Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nexpoint Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nexpoint Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nexpoint Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nexpoint Real's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nexpoint Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nexpoint because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nexpoint Real after-hype prediction price | USD 16.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nexpoint contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nexpoint Real Estate will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Nexpoint Real trading at USD 16.45, that is roughly USD 0.008328 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nexpoint Real's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nexpoint Real Estate options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nexpoint |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexpoint Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nexpoint Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nexpoint Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nexpoint Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nexpoint Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nexpoint Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nexpoint Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nexpoint Real's historical news coverage. Nexpoint Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.03 and 17.87, respectively. We have considered Nexpoint Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nexpoint Real is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nexpoint Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nexpoint Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nexpoint Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nexpoint Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nexpoint Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.45 | 16.45 | 0.00 |
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Nexpoint Real Hype Timeline
Nexpoint Real Estate is now traded for 16.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nexpoint is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nexpoint Real is about 4207.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.45. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nexpoint Real Estate last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Nexpoint Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nexpoint Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nexpoint Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nexpoint Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Nexpoint Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nexpoint Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Nexpoint Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nexpoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexpoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nexpoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nexpoint Real Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nexpoint Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nexpoint Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nexpoint Real based on analysis of Nexpoint Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nexpoint Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nexpoint Real's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.088 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.44 | 7.4 | 7.03 |
Story Coverage note for Nexpoint Real
The number of cover stories for Nexpoint Real depends on current market conditions and Nexpoint Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nexpoint Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nexpoint Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nexpoint Real Short Properties
Nexpoint Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nexpoint Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nexpoint Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nexpoint Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexpoint Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Nexpoint Stock analysis
When running Nexpoint Real's price analysis, check to measure Nexpoint Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexpoint Real is operating at the current time. Most of Nexpoint Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexpoint Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexpoint Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexpoint Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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