Kkr Real Estate Stock Price Prediction

KREF Stock  USD 11.20  0.06  0.54%   
As of 19th of March 2025, the RSI of KKR Real's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KKR Real, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KKR Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KKR Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KKR Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KKR Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting KKR Real's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.235
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8483
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.25
Wall Street Target Price
12.875
Using KKR Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KKR Real Estate from the perspective of KKR Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KKR Real using KKR Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KKR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KKR Real's stock price.

KKR Real Implied Volatility

    
  1.67  
KKR Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KKR Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KKR Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KKR Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when KKR Real's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KKR Real to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KKR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

KKR Real after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KKR contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KKR Real Estate will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With KKR Real trading at USD 11.2, that is roughly USD 0.0117 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KKR Real's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KKR Real Estate options at the current volatility level of 1.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out KKR Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KKR Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4512.3714.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5011.4213.33
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.200.30
Details

KKR Real After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of KKR Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KKR Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KKR Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

KKR Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting KKR Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KKR Real's historical news coverage. KKR Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.18 and 13.02, respectively. We have considered KKR Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.20
11.10
After-hype Price
13.02
Upside
KKR Real is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KKR Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.

KKR Real Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KKR Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KKR Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KKR Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
1.90
  0.04 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.20
11.10
0.36 
1,000.00  
Notes

KKR Real Hype Timeline

KKR Real Estate is now traded for 11.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. KKR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on KKR Real is about 3283.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.21. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.57. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KKR Real Estate last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out KKR Real Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

KKR Real Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to KKR Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KKR Real's future price movements. Getting to know how KKR Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KKR Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EFCEllington Financial(0.09)6 per month 1.00  0.19  1.46 (1.88) 12.37 
BRMKBroadmark Realty Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DXDynex Capital(0.05)8 per month 0.62  0.35  1.64 (1.14) 5.09 
ACREAres Commercial Real 0.17 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.19 (4.93) 16.58 
CHMICherry Hill Mortgage 0.15 7 per month 1.28  0.29  4.18 (2.79) 13.99 
ARIApollo Commercial Real 0.53 8 per month 1.10  0.15  2.56 (1.71) 11.61 
RCReady Capital Corp(0.05)6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.34 (4.10) 31.28 
EARNEllington Residential Mortgage 0.01 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.55 (2.10) 5.74 
LADRLadder Capital Corp 0.02 12 per month 0.00  0.07  1.90 (2.04) 6.66 
CMTGClaros Mortgage Trust 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 9.98 (9.60) 24.50 
REFIChicago Atlantic Real(0.01)8 per month 1.11  0.09  1.31 (2.07) 5.52 
AJXAJX Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ORCOrchid Island Capital(0.02)8 per month 0.92  0.18  1.93 (1.73) 8.39 
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT 0.12 10 per month 1.12  0.11  1.59 (2.13) 4.93 

KKR Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KKR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KKR using various technical indicators. When you analyze KKR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About KKR Real Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of KKR Real stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KKR Real Estate, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KKR Real based on analysis of KKR Real hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KKR Real's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KKR Real's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding81.4885.4169.1865.72
PTB Ratio0.60.650.520.5

Story Coverage note for KKR Real

The number of cover stories for KKR Real depends on current market conditions and KKR Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KKR Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KKR Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

KKR Real Short Properties

KKR Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when KKR Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KKR Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KKR Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KKR Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments104.9 M

Complementary Tools for KKR Stock analysis

When running KKR Real's price analysis, check to measure KKR Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KKR Real is operating at the current time. Most of KKR Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KKR Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KKR Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KKR Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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