Seven Hills Realty Stock Price Prediction
SEVN Stock | USD 13.19 0.07 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.42 | Wall Street Target Price 14.8333 |
Using Seven Hills hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seven Hills Realty from the perspective of Seven Hills response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Seven Hills to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Seven because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Seven Hills after-hype prediction price | USD 13.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seven Hills' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seven Hills After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seven Hills at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seven Hills or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seven Hills, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Seven Hills Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seven Hills' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seven Hills' historical news coverage. Seven Hills' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.41 and 14.93, respectively. We have considered Seven Hills' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seven Hills is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seven Hills Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seven Hills Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seven Hills is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seven Hills backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seven Hills, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.76 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.19 | 13.17 | 0.15 |
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Seven Hills Hype Timeline
Seven Hills Realty is at this time traded for 13.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Seven is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 167.62%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Seven Hills is about 1676.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.19. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Seven Hills Realty last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2024. The entity had 1039:1000 split on the 17th of August 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Seven Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Seven Hills Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seven Hills' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seven Hills' future price movements. Getting to know how Seven Hills' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seven Hills may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EARN | Ellington Residential Mortgage | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.99 | (0.06) | 1.74 | (1.76) | 5.14 | |
ACRE | Ares Commercial Real | 0.71 | 6 per month | 1.69 | (0.03) | 2.72 | (2.67) | 13.22 | |
TRTX | TPG RE Finance | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.52 | (0.04) | 2.47 | (3.01) | 8.09 | |
EFC | Ellington Financial | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.95 | (1.18) | 4.25 | |
SACH | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.88 | (7.37) | 19.76 | |
LFT | Lument Finance Trust | 0.03 | 7 per month | 2.02 | 0.01 | 3.36 | (2.86) | 12.43 | |
SEVN | Seven Hills Realty | (1.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.89 | (2.59) | 11.14 | |
DX | Dynex Capital | (0.34) | 6 per month | 1.00 | (0.07) | 1.38 | (1.47) | 4.37 | |
CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.96 | (2.98) | 12.10 | |
FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty | (0.11) | 7 per month | 1.18 | (0.11) | 1.67 | (2.06) | 5.83 |
Seven Hills Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seven price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seven using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seven charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Seven Hills Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Seven Hills stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seven Hills Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seven Hills based on analysis of Seven Hills hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Seven Hills's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Seven Hills's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.5 | Dividend Yield | 0.0392 | 0.11 | 0.0882 |
Story Coverage note for Seven Hills
The number of cover stories for Seven Hills depends on current market conditions and Seven Hills' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seven Hills is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seven Hills' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seven Hills Short Properties
Seven Hills' future price predictability will typically decrease when Seven Hills' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seven Hills Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seven Hills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seven Hills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.9 M |
Check out Seven Hills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seven Hills. If investors know Seven will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seven Hills listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 1.29 | Revenue Per Share 2.069 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) |
The market value of Seven Hills Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seven that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seven Hills' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seven Hills' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seven Hills' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seven Hills' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seven Hills' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seven Hills is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seven Hills' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.