Aurora Mobile Stock Price Prediction

JG Stock  USD 10.05  1.75  14.83%   
The relative strength indicator of Aurora Mobile's stock price is roughly 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 25th of February 2025. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aurora, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aurora Mobile's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aurora Mobile and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aurora Mobile's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aurora Mobile, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Aurora Mobile's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
7.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.067
Using Aurora Mobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurora Mobile from the perspective of Aurora Mobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Aurora Mobile Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Aurora Mobile's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aurora. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aurora can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aurora Mobile. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aurora Mobile's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aurora Mobile.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aurora Mobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aurora because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aurora Mobile after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aurora Mobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.306.0626.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.189.0029.51
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.061.161.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.418.3313.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aurora Mobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aurora Mobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aurora Mobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aurora Mobile.

Aurora Mobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aurora Mobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurora Mobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aurora Mobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aurora Mobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aurora Mobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurora Mobile's historical news coverage. Aurora Mobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.66 and 33.68, respectively. We have considered Aurora Mobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.05
13.17
After-hype Price
33.68
Upside
Aurora Mobile is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurora Mobile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aurora Mobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurora Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurora Mobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.63 
20.45
  2.48 
  0.59 
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.05
13.17
28.24 
1,345  
Notes

Aurora Mobile Hype Timeline

As of February 25, 2025 Aurora Mobile is listed for 10.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.59. Aurora is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 28.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.63%. The volatility of related hype on Aurora Mobile is about 5641.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.64. Aurora Mobile reports 4.64 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Aurora Mobile has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Aurora to invest in growth at high rates of return. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Aurora Mobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.

Aurora Mobile Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aurora Mobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurora Mobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Aurora Mobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurora Mobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GCTGigaCloud Technology Class 0.98 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.29 (6.12) 16.65 
ARQQArqit Quantum 5.80 9 per month 9.22  0.12  37.23 (12.37) 81.53 
IRNTIronnet 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TLSTelos Corp(0.19)9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.18 (5.79) 18.49 
CETXCemtrex(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 8.09 (12.33) 75.61 
HUBCHub Cyber Security 0.05 9 per month 10.68  0.08  23.21 (15.00) 105.60 
ZFOXZeroFox Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AUIDauthID Inc 0.45 9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 10.25 (8.96) 44.75 
VHCVirnetX Holding Corp 0.21 3 per month 3.66  0.10  8.88 (8.11) 77.83 
DTSSDatasea(0.05)6 per month 0.00 (0) 4.55 (6.27) 18.17 
NXTPNextplay Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PRTHPriority Technology Holdings(1.36)9 per month 5.64  0.11  8.98 (7.55) 33.24 
DROPFuse Science 0.00 0 per month 11.76  0.03  32.43 (23.08) 136.00 
TAOPTaoping 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.01) 6.67 (7.32) 42.41 
BLINBridgeline Digital 0.02 8 per month 5.75  0.09  16.00 (10.07) 45.75 
CISOCerberus Cyber Sentinel(0.08)9 per month 9.88  0.05  20.22 (15.23) 76.75 

Aurora Mobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aurora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aurora Mobile Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aurora Mobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aurora Mobile, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurora Mobile based on analysis of Aurora Mobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aurora Mobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aurora Mobile's related companies.
 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Payables Turnover5.674.964.71
Days Of Inventory On Hand0.470.420.4

Story Coverage note for Aurora Mobile

The number of cover stories for Aurora Mobile depends on current market conditions and Aurora Mobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurora Mobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurora Mobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Aurora Mobile Short Properties

Aurora Mobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aurora Mobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aurora Mobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aurora Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments114.5 M

Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis

When running Aurora Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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