Aurora Mobile Valuation

JG Stock  USD 10.63  0.86  8.80%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Aurora Mobile shows a prevailing Real Value of $5.65 per share. The current price of the firm is $10.63. Our model approximates the value of Aurora Mobile from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.0667, current valuation of 51.42 M, and Profit Margin of (0.02) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
10.63
Please note that Aurora Mobile's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Aurora Mobile is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Aurora Mobile's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Aurora stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Aurora Mobile. Since Aurora Mobile is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aurora Stock. However, Aurora Mobile's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.63 Real  5.65 Hype  9.52 Naive  11.9
The real value of Aurora Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Aurora Mobile Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Aurora Mobile's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Aurora Mobile's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
5.65
Real Value
26.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aurora Mobile helps investors to forecast how Aurora stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aurora Mobile more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aurora Mobile's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.3510.1711.99
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.489.5230.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.2411.9032.43
Details

Aurora Mobile Total Value Analysis

Aurora Mobile is currently forecasted to have takeover value of 51.42 M with market capitalization of 58.48 M, debt of 4.64 M, and cash on hands of 111.84 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Aurora Mobile fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
51.42 M
58.48 M
4.64 M
111.84 M

Aurora Mobile Investor Information

The company recorded a loss per share of 0.55. Aurora Mobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 11th of December 2023. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Aurora Mobile's historical financial statements, Aurora Mobile is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in April.

Aurora Mobile Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Aurora Mobile has an asset utilization ratio of 82.88 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.83 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Aurora Mobile is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Aurora Mobile Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Aurora Mobile is $58.48 Million. Aurora Mobile shows 9.79 percent of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 0.41 percent owned by other corporate entities. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Aurora Mobile Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 290.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (62.67 M) with gross profit of 209.03 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Aurora Mobile's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Aurora Mobile and how it compares across the competition.

About Aurora Mobile Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Aurora Mobile's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Aurora Mobile. We calculate exposure to Aurora Mobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Aurora Mobile's related companies.
Aurora Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a mobile app developer service provider in China. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the Peoples Republic of China. Aurora Mobile operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 541 people.

Aurora Mobile Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Aurora Mobile does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.7 M
Forward Price Earnings7.2886

Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis

When running Aurora Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Aurora Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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