Aurora Mobile Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JG Stock  USD 8.19  0.90  12.35%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aurora Mobile is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aurora Mobile buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JG positions.
  
Check out Aurora Mobile Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aurora and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aurora Mobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Aurora Mobile Buy or Sell Advice

The Aurora recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aurora Mobile. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aurora Mobile or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aurora Mobile's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aurora MobileBuy Aurora Mobile
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very WeakDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aurora Mobile has a Mean Deviation of 6.39, Semi Deviation of 6.92, Standard Deviation of 9.81, Variance of 96.24, Downside Variance of 68.2 and Semi Variance of 47.83
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aurora Mobile. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aurora Mobile is not overpriced, please confirm all Aurora Mobile fundamentals, including its current ratio, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Aurora Mobile has a number of shares shorted of 24.21 K, we suggest you to validate Aurora Mobile market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aurora Mobile Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aurora Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aurora Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aurora Mobile reports 4.64 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.73, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Aurora Mobile has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Aurora to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity generated the yearly revenue of 290.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (62.67 M) with gross profit of 225.76 M.
Aurora Mobile reports about 111.84 M in cash with (17.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94.
Aurora Mobile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Aurora Continues to Rise After Winning AI Innovation Award

Aurora Mobile Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aurora Mobile's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aurora Mobile's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aurora Mobile daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aurora Mobile price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aurora Mobile returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aurora Mobile.
Mean Return
1.57
Value At Risk
-14.72
Potential Upside
18.46
Standard Deviation
9.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aurora Mobile historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aurora Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fosun International Ltd2024-09-30
434.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
2.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-06-30
1.9 K
Larson Financial Group, Llc2024-06-30
911
Emfo, Llc2024-06-30
350
Farmers And Merchants Trust Company Of Chambersburg2024-09-30
200
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
4.0
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co2024-06-30
0.0
Note, although Aurora Mobile's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aurora Mobile Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory10.4M52.0M(31.3M)469K539.4K512.4K
Investments(89.0M)(114.2M)26.4M26.9M25.1M26.4M
Change In Cash(145.1M)(75.3M)(101.6M)(138.3M)(1.3M)(1.2M)
Free Cash Flow(74.8M)53.5M(95.6M)(18.6M)(18.4M)(19.4M)
Depreciation32.4M42.1M31.8M30.4M11.5M10.9M
Other Non Cash Items8.1M12.4M3.4M41.7M26.9M15.6M
Capital Expenditures49.1M22.3M18.9M1.1M524K497.8K
Net Income(109.8M)(225.1M)(140.6M)(108.5M)(62.7M)(65.8M)
End Period Cash Flow431.6M356.2M254.6M116.3M115.0M216.2M
Change To Netincome46.5M108.9M51.8M55.2M63.5M50.1M

Aurora Mobile Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aurora Mobile or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aurora Mobile's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aurora stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
10.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Aurora Mobile Volatility Alert

Aurora Mobile is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aurora Mobile's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aurora Mobile's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aurora Mobile Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aurora Mobile's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aurora Mobile's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aurora Mobile and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aurora Mobile or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurora Mobile's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurora Mobile by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aurora Mobile to competition
FundamentalsAurora MobilePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.24-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0459-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation33.11 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.79 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.12 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted24.21 K4.71 M
Price To Book4.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.15 X11.42 X
Revenue290.23 M9.43 B
Gross Profit225.76 M27.38 B
EBITDA(52.22 M)3.9 B
Net Income(62.67 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents111.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.94 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.64 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.73 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.80 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(17.91 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.55) X3.12 X
Target Price7.12
Number Of Employees37118.84 K
Beta1.1-0.15
Market Capitalization43.64 M19.03 B
Total Asset350.19 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(988.67 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(71.7 M)1.48 B
Current Asset320.45 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities90.32 M7.9 B

Aurora Mobile Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurora . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aurora Mobile Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aurora Mobile? Buying financial instruments such as Aurora Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aurora Mobile in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wireless Thematic Idea Now

Wireless
Wireless Theme
Companies providing wireless technology and communication services. The Wireless theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wireless Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aurora Mobile Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Aurora Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurora Mobile guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurora Mobile. If investors know Aurora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurora Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.55)
Revenue Per Share
49.496
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.24)
The market value of Aurora Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurora Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurora Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurora Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurora Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurora Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurora Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurora Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.