Estee Lauder Companies Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 72.55 75.64 78.73 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 78.17 81.25 84.34 Details

31 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 69.60 76.48 84.89 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.25 0.32 0.43 Details

Estee Lauder After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Estee Lauder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Estee Lauder Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.08	3.09	0.12	0.10	9 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
74.78	74.66	0.16	203.29   Notes

Estee Lauder Hype Timeline

As of February 25, 2025 Estee Lauder Companies is listed for 74.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Estee is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 74.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Estee Lauder is about 241.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.88. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. Estee Lauder Companies recorded a loss per share of 1.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 23rd of January 2012. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Estee Lauder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Estee Lauder Related Hype Analysis

Estee Lauder Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Estee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Estee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Estee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Estee Lauder stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Estee Lauder Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Estee Lauder based on analysis of Estee Lauder hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Estee Lauder depends on current market conditions and Estee Lauder's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Estee Lauder is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Estee Lauder's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Estee Lauder's future price predictability will typically decrease when Estee Lauder's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Estee Lauder Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Estee Lauder's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Estee Lauder's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Estee Lauder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Estee Lauder. If investors know Estee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Estee Lauder listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Estee Lauder Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Estee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Estee Lauder's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Estee Lauder's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Estee Lauder's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Estee Lauder's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Estee Lauder's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Estee Lauder is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Estee Lauder's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.