Inter Parfums Stock Price Prediction
| IPAR Stock | USD 132.76 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.163 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.93 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.135 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.355 | Wall Street Target Price 146.8333 |
Using Inter Parfums hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inter Parfums from the perspective of Inter Parfums response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inter Parfums using Inter Parfums' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inter Parfums' stock price.
Inter Parfums Short Interest
An investor who is long Inter Parfums may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Inter Parfums and may potentially protect profits, hedge Inter Parfums with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 126.4773 | Short Percent 0.0539 | Short Ratio 8.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 949.8 K | 50 Day MA 135.6922 |
Inter Parfums Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Inter Parfums' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Inter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inter Parfums. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Inter Parfums' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Inter Parfums.
Inter Parfums Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Inter Parfums' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inter Parfums stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inter Parfums' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inter Parfums stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inter Parfums' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inter Parfums to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inter Parfums after-hype prediction price | USD 132.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Inter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Inter Parfums will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Inter Parfums trading at USD 132.76, that is roughly USD 0.0348 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Inter Parfums' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Inter Parfums options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Inter |
Inter Parfums After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inter Parfums at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inter Parfums or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inter Parfums, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inter Parfums Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inter Parfums' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inter Parfums' historical news coverage. Inter Parfums' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.00 and 134.52, respectively. We have considered Inter Parfums' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inter Parfums is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inter Parfums is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inter Parfums Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inter Parfums is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inter Parfums backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inter Parfums, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
132.76 | 132.76 | 0.00 |
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Inter Parfums Hype Timeline
Inter Parfums is currently traded for 132.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Inter is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inter Parfums is about 2838.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 132.75. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.73. Inter Parfums last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 2nd of June 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Inter Parfums Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inter Parfums Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inter Parfums' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inter Parfums' future price movements. Getting to know how Inter Parfums' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inter Parfums may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JJSF | J J Snack | (2.59) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 2.23 | (3.47) | 9.17 | |
| JBSS | John B Sanfilippo | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.11 | (2.94) | 13.65 | |
| IOSP | Innospec | (0.86) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.24 | (2.20) | 5.97 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | 1.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.78 | (2.18) | 8.17 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 2.25 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.81 | (2.12) | 5.11 |
Inter Parfums Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Inter Parfums Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inter Parfums stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inter Parfums, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inter Parfums based on analysis of Inter Parfums hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inter Parfums's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inter Parfums's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0207 | 0.0174 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.83 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
Story Coverage note for Inter Parfums
The number of cover stories for Inter Parfums depends on current market conditions and Inter Parfums' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inter Parfums is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inter Parfums' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inter Parfums Short Properties
Inter Parfums' future price predictability will typically decrease when Inter Parfums' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inter Parfums often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inter Parfums' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inter Parfums' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.8 M |
Additional Tools for Inter Stock Analysis
When running Inter Parfums' price analysis, check to measure Inter Parfums' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inter Parfums is operating at the current time. Most of Inter Parfums' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inter Parfums' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inter Parfums' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inter Parfums to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.