Customers Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

CUBI Stock  USD 54.01  0.70  1.31%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Customers Bancorp's stock price is under 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 11th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Customers, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Customers Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Customers Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Customers Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.48
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.6138
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.1738
Wall Street Target Price
63.1111
Using Customers Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Customers Bancorp from the perspective of Customers Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Customers Bancorp using Customers Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Customers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Customers Bancorp's stock price.

Customers Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  1.24  
Customers Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Customers Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Customers Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Customers Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Customers Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Customers Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Customers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Customers Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 53.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Customers contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Customers Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0775% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Customers Bancorp trading at USD 54.01, that is roughly USD 0.0419 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Customers Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Customers Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Customers Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Customers Stock please use our How to Invest in Customers Bancorp guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.7650.1159.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.4350.7954.14
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.5347.8353.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.361.481.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Customers Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Customers Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Customers Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Customers Bancorp.

Customers Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Customers Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Customers Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Customers Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Customers Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Customers Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Customers Bancorp's historical news coverage. Customers Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.52 and 57.22, respectively. We have considered Customers Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
54.01
53.87
After-hype Price
57.22
Upside
Customers Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Customers Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Customers Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Customers Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Customers Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Customers Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
3.36
  0.16 
  0.09 
8 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.01
53.87
0.28 
550.82  
Notes

Customers Bancorp Hype Timeline

Customers Bancorp is currently traded for 54.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Customers is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Customers Bancorp is about 958.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.92. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Customers Bancorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 11:10 split on the 22nd of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Customers Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Customers Stock please use our How to Invest in Customers Bancorp guide.

Customers Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Customers Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Customers Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Customers Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Customers Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GBCIGlacier Bancorp 0.77 7 per month 1.47  0.13  3.88 (3.01) 14.43 
CFFNCapitol Federal Financial(0.19)9 per month 1.29  0.06  3.24 (2.24) 14.80 
BYByline Bancorp(0.04)9 per month 1.24  0.07  3.40 (2.51) 20.72 
CATYCathay General Bancorp(0.73)9 per month 1.17  0.09  3.35 (1.92) 17.18 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares(0.24)9 per month 1.24  0.05  2.82 (2.03) 17.03 
DCOMPDime Community Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.22 (0.03) 1.65 (2.12) 4.78 
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp(0.35)9 per month 1.71  0.05  4.26 (3.69) 21.47 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp(0.12)7 per month 1.80  0.02  3.13 (3.03) 20.79 
CLBKColumbia Financial(0.27)9 per month 1.80 (0.03) 3.21 (3.45) 13.91 
KRNYKearny Financial Corp(0.14)7 per month 1.73  0.09  4.40 (3.47) 22.42 
HOMBHome BancShares(0.33)8 per month 1.20  0.05  2.96 (1.93) 16.84 
VLYValley National Bancorp 0.1 6 per month 1.60  0.12  4.40 (3.44) 14.97 
ABCBAmeris Bancorp(1.08)10 per month 1.50  0.04  3.15 (2.56) 16.25 
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp(0.42)11 per month 1.75  0.06  4.19 (3.33) 19.99 
IBTXIndependent Bank Group(2.22)10 per month 1.56  0.07  3.09 (3.04) 17.98 

Customers Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Customers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Customers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Customers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Customers Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Customers Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Customers Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Customers Bancorp based on analysis of Customers Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Customers Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Customers Bancorp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0051290.01010.008080.00984
Price To Sales Ratio2.821.462.652.89

Story Coverage note for Customers Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Customers Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Customers Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Customers Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Customers Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Customers Bancorp Short Properties

Customers Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Customers Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Customers Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Customers Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Customers Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.8 B

Complementary Tools for Customers Stock analysis

When running Customers Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Customers Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Customers Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Customers Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Customers Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Customers Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Customers Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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