Atlantic Union Bankshares Stock Price Prediction

AUB Stock  USD 32.01  0.28  0.87%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Atlantic Union's share price is below 30 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlantic Union Bankshares, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 23

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Atlantic Union's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlantic Union Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Atlantic Union's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.734
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.322
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.072
Wall Street Target Price
44.6
Using Atlantic Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic Union Bankshares from the perspective of Atlantic Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atlantic Union using Atlantic Union's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atlantic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atlantic Union's stock price.

Atlantic Union Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Atlantic Union's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Atlantic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Atlantic Union stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
37.2635
Short Percent
0.0831
Short Ratio
6.62
Shares Short Prior Month
839.6 K
50 Day MA
35.8672

Atlantic Union Bankshares Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Atlantic Union's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Atlantic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atlantic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atlantic Union Bankshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atlantic Union's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atlantic Union.

Atlantic Union Implied Volatility

    
  0.94  
Atlantic Union's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atlantic Union Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atlantic Union's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atlantic Union stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atlantic Union's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlantic Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlantic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Atlantic Union after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8139.8241.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.4933.1834.88
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.8646.0051.06
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.710.73
Details

Atlantic Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlantic Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlantic Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlantic Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlantic Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic Union's historical news coverage. Atlantic Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.27 and 33.65, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.01
31.96
After-hype Price
33.65
Upside
Atlantic Union is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic Union Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlantic Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlantic Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.70
  0.05 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.01
31.96
0.16 
850.00  
Notes

Atlantic Union Hype Timeline

On the 24th of March Atlantic Union Bankshares is traded for 32.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Atlantic is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic Union is about 1146.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.97. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atlantic Union Bankshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 16th of October 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Atlantic Union Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic Union's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic Union's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HBCPHome Bancorp(1.72)8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.82 (3.25) 8.36 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.34)7 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.28 (2.17) 6.01 
FCCOFirst Community(0.19)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.41 (3.73) 10.26 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 0.32 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.27 (3.02) 7.73 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.53 (2.02) 22.46 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares 0.08 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.37 (2.32) 7.28 
BOKFBOK Financial(0.70)12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.96 (3.21) 6.40 
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation 0.69 8 per month 0.00  0.01  4.18 (2.95) 9.06 
FGBIFirst Guaranty Bancshares(0.20)7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.55 (5.64) 9.37 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.13)9 per month 0.00  0.01  2.68 (2.76) 9.99 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FNWDFinward Bancorp(0.21)8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.12 (1.97) 8.51 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.02 7 per month 1.01  0.05  1.17 (1.77) 16.29 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.21)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.58 (3.33) 9.15 
AMNBAmerican National Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ACNBACNB Corporation(0.18)6 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.29 (3.25) 8.83 
BCMLBayCom Corp 0.28 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.58 (3.87) 10.35 

Atlantic Union Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Atlantic Union Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Atlantic Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlantic Union Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlantic Union based on analysis of Atlantic Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlantic Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlantic Union's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03770.0380.0212
Price To Sales Ratio3.933.994.62

Story Coverage note for Atlantic Union

The number of cover stories for Atlantic Union depends on current market conditions and Atlantic Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Atlantic Union Short Properties

Atlantic Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlantic Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlantic Union Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlantic Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Complementary Tools for Atlantic Stock analysis

When running Atlantic Union's price analysis, check to measure Atlantic Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic Union is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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