Arko Corp Stock Price Prediction
| ARKO Stock | USD 7.21 0.01 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.12 | Wall Street Target Price 7.9375 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Arko Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arko Corp from the perspective of Arko Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Arko Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Arko because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Arko Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 7.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Arko |
Arko Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arko Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arko Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Arko Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arko Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arko Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arko Corp's historical news coverage. Arko Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.71 and 9.71, respectively. We have considered Arko Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arko Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arko Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arko Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arko Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arko Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arko Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.21 | 7.21 | 0.00 |
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Arko Corp Hype Timeline
Arko Corp is presently traded for 7.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.29. Arko is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Arko Corp is about 223.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.92. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Arko Corp was presently reported as 2.42. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Arko Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Arko Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arko Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arko Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Arko Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arko Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MUSA | Murphy USA | (1.91) | 9 per month | 1.25 | (0.01) | 2.61 | (1.90) | 6.99 | |
| EYE | National Vision Holdings | (0.70) | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.07 | 4.82 | (2.84) | 10.35 | |
| ODP | ODP Corp | 0.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.98 | (3.73) | 15.70 | |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Co | 3.28 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.85 | (2.36) | 23.82 | |
| ORLY | OReilly Automotive | (13.33) | 10 per month | 0.86 | 0.03 | 1.40 | (1.55) | 7.77 | |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | (0.08) | 7 per month | 1.82 | 0.01 | 4.86 | (2.78) | 12.66 | |
| WOOF | Pet Acquisition LLC | 0.30 | 10 per month | 4.09 | 0.10 | 11.27 | (6.93) | 41.26 | |
| LESL | Leslies | (0.1) | 9 per month | 6.86 | (0.01) | 10.03 | (8.31) | 51.00 | |
| BGFV | Big 5 Sporting | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.69 | (8.47) | 25.47 | |
| CONN | Conns Inc | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.47) | 10.49 | (28.10) | 62.98 | |
| JOAN | Joann Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.42 | (6.80) | 44.17 |
Arko Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Arko Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Arko Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arko Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arko Corp based on analysis of Arko Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Arko Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arko Corp's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0158 | 0.0204 | 0.0111 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.0989 |
Story Coverage note for Arko Corp
The number of cover stories for Arko Corp depends on current market conditions and Arko Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arko Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arko Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arko Corp Short Properties
Arko Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Arko Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arko Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arko Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arko Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222 M |
Check out Arko Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Arko Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arko Corp guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arko Corp. If investors know Arko will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arko Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.16 | Revenue Per Share 77.121 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Arko Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arko that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arko Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arko Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arko Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arko Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arko Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arko Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arko Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.