Amplify Energy Corp Stock Price Prediction
| AMPY Stock | USD 6.38 0.08 1.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.115 | Wall Street Target Price 9.8333 |
Using Amplify Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Energy Corp from the perspective of Amplify Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplify Energy using Amplify Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplify Energy's stock price.
Amplify Energy Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Amplify Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplify Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplify Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplify Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplify Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amplify Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amplify because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amplify Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 6.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amplify |
Amplify Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amplify Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Energy's historical news coverage. Amplify Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.14 and 8.48, respectively. We have considered Amplify Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amplify Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.18 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.38 | 6.31 | 0.16 |
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Amplify Energy Hype Timeline
Amplify Energy Corp is presently traded for 6.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Amplify is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Energy is about 765.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.39. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Amplify Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2020. The entity had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Amplify Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Amplify Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Amplify Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amplify Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amplify Energy Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amplify Energy based on analysis of Amplify Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amplify Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amplify Energy's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0884 | 0.0839 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.75 | 0.9 |
Story Coverage note for Amplify Energy
The number of cover stories for Amplify Energy depends on current market conditions and Amplify Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amplify Energy Short Properties
Amplify Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amplify Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amplify Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amplify Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amplify Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 M |
Additional Tools for Amplify Stock Analysis
When running Amplify Energy's price analysis, check to measure Amplify Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amplify Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Amplify Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amplify Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amplify Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amplify Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.