Permian Resources Stock Price Prediction

PR Stock  USD 15.66  0.07  0.45%   
As of today, the value of relative strength index of Permian Resources' share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Permian Resources, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Permian Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Permian Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Permian Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Permian Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Permian Resources' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.119
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.37
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4642
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5178
Wall Street Target Price
18.7895
Using Permian Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Permian Resources from the perspective of Permian Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Permian Resources Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Permian Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Permian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Permian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Permian Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Permian Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Permian Resources.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Permian Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Permian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Permian Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Permian Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Permian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Permian Resources guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2416.2218.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2715.2517.23
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.8017.3619.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.370.42
Details

Permian Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Permian Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Permian Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Permian Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Permian Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Permian Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Permian Resources' historical news coverage. Permian Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.73 and 17.69, respectively. We have considered Permian Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.66
15.71
After-hype Price
17.69
Upside
Permian Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Permian Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Permian Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Permian Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Permian Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Permian Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.98
  0.05 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.66
15.71
0.32 
900.00  
Notes

Permian Resources Hype Timeline

As of November 30, 2024 Permian Resources is listed for 15.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Permian is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Permian Resources is about 5483.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.67. The company generated the yearly revenue of 3.12 B. Reported Net Income was 476.31 M with gross profit of 1.71 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Permian Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Permian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Permian Resources guide.

Permian Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Permian Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Permian Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Permian Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Permian Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PXDPioneer Natural Resources(0.20)35 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.43 (2.71) 6.32 
DVNDevon Energy(0.74)10 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.14 (2.99) 7.08 
EOGEOG Resources 1.55 9 per month 1.56 (0.04) 1.92 (3.19) 9.26 
CTRACoterra Energy 0.31 11 per month 1.34  0.03  2.27 (2.08) 8.03 
RRCRange Resources Corp(0.05)12 per month 1.47  0.09  3.64 (2.66) 8.94 
SWNSouthwestern Energy 0.15 9 per month 1.50 (0.02) 2.82 (2.32) 6.63 
EQTEQT Corporation(0.52)11 per month 1.19  0.18  3.68 (2.07) 9.64 
CRKComstock Resources(0.55)11 per month 2.00  0.18  6.81 (3.67) 13.81 
VTLEVital Energy(1.59)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.41 (6.77) 17.63 
SMSM Energy Co 0.20 9 per month 2.95 (0.05) 3.42 (4.03) 10.08 
MTDRMatador Resources 2.11 11 per month 2.44 (0.01) 3.24 (3.39) 10.94 
OBEObsidian Energy 0.12 4 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.76 (4.26) 13.07 
SBOWSilverBow Resources 0.43 9 per month 1.86  0.04  3.59 (2.41) 15.61 
MGYMagnolia Oil Gas(0.66)9 per month 2.02  0.01  2.89 (3.67) 8.85 
REIRing Energy 0.04 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.43 (5.33) 18.99 
CPECallon Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 3.03 (0.03) 4.32 (5.23) 12.38 
SDSandRidge Energy 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.24 (3.26) 10.79 
ESTEEarthstone Energy 0.00 0 per month 2.66  0.01  4.37 (4.80) 10.76 

Permian Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Permian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Permian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Permian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Permian Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Permian Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Permian Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Permian Resources based on analysis of Permian Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Permian Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Permian Resources's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02990.0314
Price To Sales Ratio1.521.45

Story Coverage note for Permian Resources

The number of cover stories for Permian Resources depends on current market conditions and Permian Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Permian Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Permian Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Permian Resources Short Properties

Permian Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Permian Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Permian Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Permian Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Permian Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding389.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.3 M

Additional Tools for Permian Stock Analysis

When running Permian Resources' price analysis, check to measure Permian Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Permian Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Permian Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Permian Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Permian Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Permian Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.