Civitas Resources Stock Price Prediction
| CIVI Stock | USD 35.76 0.43 1.19% |
Momentum 18
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1904 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.6344 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.5245 | Wall Street Target Price 61.6667 |
Using Civitas Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Civitas Resources from the perspective of Civitas Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Civitas Resources using Civitas Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Civitas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Civitas Resources' stock price.
Civitas Resources Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Civitas Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Civitas. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Civitas Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 54.6202 | Short Percent 0.091 | Short Ratio 3.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 45.769 |
Civitas Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Civitas Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Civitas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Civitas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Civitas Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Civitas Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Civitas Resources.
Civitas Resources Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Civitas Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Civitas Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Civitas Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Civitas Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Civitas Resources' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Civitas Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Civitas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Civitas Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 36.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Civitas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Civitas Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Civitas Resources trading at USD 35.76, that is roughly USD 0.0116 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Civitas Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Civitas Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Civitas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Civitas Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Civitas Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Civitas Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Civitas Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Civitas Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Civitas Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Civitas Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Civitas Resources' historical news coverage. Civitas Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.49 and 39.89, respectively. We have considered Civitas Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Civitas Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Civitas Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Civitas Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Civitas Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Civitas Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Civitas Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 3.70 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.76 | 36.19 | 0.00 |
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Civitas Resources Hype Timeline
Civitas Resources is currently traded for 35.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Civitas is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Civitas Resources is about 799.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.67. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Civitas Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.31. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.46. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2025. Civitas Resources had 1000:11158 split on the 1st of May 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Civitas Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Civitas Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Civitas Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Civitas Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Civitas Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Civitas Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Civitas Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Civitas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Civitas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Civitas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Civitas Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Civitas Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Civitas Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Civitas Resources based on analysis of Civitas Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Civitas Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Civitas Resources's related companies. | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.0726 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for Civitas Resources
The number of cover stories for Civitas Resources depends on current market conditions and Civitas Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Civitas Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Civitas Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Civitas Resources Short Properties
Civitas Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Civitas Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Civitas Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Civitas Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Civitas Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Civitas Stock analysis
When running Civitas Resources' price analysis, check to measure Civitas Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Civitas Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Civitas Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Civitas Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Civitas Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Civitas Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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