Toll Brothers Stock Performance
| TOL Stock | USD 108.17 1.14 1.07% |
The entity has a beta of 1.3, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Toll Brothers will likely underperform. At this point, Toll Brothers has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to validate Toll Brothers' skewness, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Toll Brothers performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Toll Brothers has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.7 | Five Day Return 3.69 | Year To Date Return (13.47) | Ten Year Return 178.5 | All Time Return 5.3 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0095 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1 | Dividend Date 2025-04-25 |
1 | Disposition of 12491 shares by Martin Connor of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/20/2024 |
2 | Disposition of tradable shares by Christine Garvey of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 5000 shares by Martin Connor of Toll Brothers at 123.9001 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/10/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 2007 shares by Stephen East of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/17/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Karen Grimes of 3891 shares of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/22/2025 |
| Toll Brothers dividend paid on 24th of January 2025 | 01/24/2025 |
6 | Acquisition by Karen Grimes of 1655 shares of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/14/2025 |
7 | Jim Cramer on Toll Brothers Inc Toll Makes Really Good Homes, But | 02/21/2025 |
8 | 45-Home Housing Development Moving Forward In Newtown Township | 02/26/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 17752 shares by Martin Connor of Toll Brothers at 143.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/28/2025 |
10 | Toll Brothers Arizona Division Wins Four Gold Awards at The Nationals | 03/04/2025 |
11 | Aviance Capital Partners LLC Buys 649 Shares of Toll Brothers, Inc. | 03/07/2025 |
12 | Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Now Open in Carmel, New York | 03/11/2025 |
13 | Toll Brothers Hikes Dividend by 9 percent A Move to Boost Investor Value | 03/12/2025 |
14 | Acquisition by Douglas Yearley of 76053 shares of Toll Brothers subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/14/2025 |
15 | Toll Brothers Announces New Phase of Home Sites in Woodsons Reserve Community in Spring, Texas | 03/18/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.3 B |
Toll |
Toll Brothers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 12,522 in Toll Brothers on December 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,819) from holding Toll Brothers or give up 14.53% of portfolio value over 90 days. Toll Brothers is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1094% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Toll, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Toll Brothers Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toll Brothers' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Toll Brothers, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Toll Brothers' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.1134
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | TOL |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.11 actual daily | 18 82% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.24 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.11 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Toll Brothers is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Toll Brothers by adding Toll Brothers to a well-diversified portfolio.
Toll Brothers Fundamentals Growth
Toll Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Toll Brothers, and Toll Brothers fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Toll Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0971 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 12.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 99.44 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 5.61 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.34 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.99 X | ||||
| Revenue | 10.85 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.02 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 2.04 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.57 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.35 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.79 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.83 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 4.87 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 77.98 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.01 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 14.51 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.64 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.37 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 8.15 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 9.06 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 8.19 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.73 B | ||||
About Toll Brothers Performance
By examining Toll Brothers' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Toll Brothers' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Toll Brothers is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 407.80 | 456.00 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.22 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | 0.17 |
Things to note about Toll Brothers performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toll Brothers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Toll Brothers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Toll Brothers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toll Brothers is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 24th of January 2025 Toll Brothers paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Toll Brothers Announces New Phase of Home Sites in Woodsons Reserve Community in Spring, Texas |
- Analyzing Toll Brothers' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Toll Brothers' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Toll Brothers' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Toll Brothers' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Toll Brothers' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Toll Brothers' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Toll Brothers' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 14.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.