Toll Brothers Stock Market Value

TOL Stock  USD 104.89  1.87  1.82%   
Toll Brothers' market value is the price at which a share of Toll Brothers trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Toll Brothers investors about its performance. Toll Brothers is selling for 104.89 as of the 15th of March 2025. This is a 1.82 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 102.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Toll Brothers and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Toll Brothers over a given investment horizon. Check out Toll Brothers Correlation, Toll Brothers Volatility and Toll Brothers Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Toll Brothers.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
Symbol

Toll Brothers Price To Book Ratio

Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Dividend Share
0.92
Earnings Share
14.51
Revenue Per Share
104.874
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Toll Brothers 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Toll Brothers' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Toll Brothers.
0.00
12/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/15/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Toll Brothers on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Toll Brothers or generate 0.0% return on investment in Toll Brothers over 90 days. Toll Brothers is related to or competes with DR Horton, Lennar, KB Home, NVR, PulteGroup, Beazer Homes, and Hovnanian Enterprises. Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range o... More

Toll Brothers Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Toll Brothers' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Toll Brothers upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Toll Brothers Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toll Brothers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Toll Brothers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Toll Brothers historical prices to predict the future Toll Brothers' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.58105.78107.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.40121.95124.15
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
143.68157.89175.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.753.013.10
Details

Toll Brothers Backtested Returns

Toll Brothers owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.18, which indicates the firm had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Toll Brothers exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Toll Brothers' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21), variance of 5.28, and Coefficient Of Variation of (396.40) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.28, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Toll Brothers will likely underperform. At this point, Toll Brothers has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to validate Toll Brothers' jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Toll Brothers performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

Toll Brothers has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Toll Brothers time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Toll Brothers price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Toll Brothers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance107.2

Toll Brothers lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Toll Brothers stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Toll Brothers' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Toll Brothers returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Toll Brothers has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Toll Brothers regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Toll Brothers stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Toll Brothers stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Toll Brothers stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Toll Brothers Lagged Returns

When evaluating Toll Brothers' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Toll Brothers stock have on its future price. Toll Brothers autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Toll Brothers autocorrelation shows the relationship between Toll Brothers stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Toll Brothers.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Toll Brothers Correlation, Toll Brothers Volatility and Toll Brothers Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Toll Brothers.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Toll Brothers technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Toll Brothers technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Toll Brothers trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...