Baycom Corp Stock Market Value
| BCML Stock | USD 25.02 0.63 2.58% |
| Symbol | BayCom |
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BayCom Corp. If investors know BayCom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BayCom Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BayCom Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BayCom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BayCom Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BayCom Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BayCom Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BayCom Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BayCom Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BayCom Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BayCom Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
BayCom Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BayCom Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BayCom Corp.
| 12/15/2024 |
| 03/15/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BayCom Corp on December 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BayCom Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in BayCom Corp over 90 days. BayCom Corp is related to or competes with Home Federal, LINKBANCORP, Community West, First Northwest, First Financial, Oak Valley, and Home Bancorp. BayCom Corp operates as the bank holding company for United Business Bank that provides various financial services to sm... More
BayCom Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BayCom Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BayCom Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.58 |
BayCom Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BayCom Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BayCom Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BayCom Corp historical prices to predict the future BayCom Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0096 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.21) |
BayCom Corp Backtested Returns
BayCom Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. BayCom Corp exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BayCom Corp's Standard Deviation of 2.0, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Mean Deviation of 1.55 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.15, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. BayCom Corp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BayCom Corp is expected to follow. At this point, BayCom Corp has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to confirm BayCom Corp's value at risk, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if BayCom Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.21 |
Weak reverse predictability
BayCom Corp has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BayCom Corp time series from 15th of December 2024 to 29th of January 2025 and 29th of January 2025 to 15th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BayCom Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current BayCom Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.29 |
BayCom Corp lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BayCom Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BayCom Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BayCom Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BayCom Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
BayCom Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BayCom Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BayCom Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BayCom Corp stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
BayCom Corp Lagged Returns
When evaluating BayCom Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BayCom Corp stock have on its future price. BayCom Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BayCom Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between BayCom Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BayCom Corp.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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BayCom Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.