Is Genius Sports Stock a Good Investment?
Genius Sports Investment Advice | GENI |
- Examine Genius Sports' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Genius Sports' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Genius Sports navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Interactive Media & Services space and any emerging trends that could impact Genius Sports' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Genius Sports' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Genius Sports is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Genius Sports pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Genius Sports' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Genius Sports stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Genius Sports is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Genius Sports Stock
Researching Genius Sports' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Genius Sports was currently reported as 2.73. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Genius Sports had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Genius Sports is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Genius Sports' research are outlined below:
| Genius Sports had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 510.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.76 M. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Genius Sports Limited Shares Sold by Moors Cabot Inc. |
Genius Sports uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Genius Sports. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Genius Sports' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 8th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 8th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Genius Sports' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Genius Sports' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-05-08 | 2024-03-31 | -0.1 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 10 | ||
2023-11-13 | 2023-09-30 | -0.04 | -0.06 | -0.02 | 50 | ||
2023-05-09 | 2023-03-31 | -0.09 | -0.12 | -0.03 | 33 | ||
2022-11-10 | 2022-09-30 | -0.07 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 42 | ||
2024-03-06 | 2023-12-31 | -0.07 | -0.12 | -0.05 | 71 | ||
2022-05-12 | 2022-03-31 | -0.16 | -0.21 | -0.05 | 31 | ||
2024-08-06 | 2024-06-30 | -0.03 | -0.09 | -0.06 | 200 | ||
2024-11-12 | 2024-09-30 | -0.01 | 0.0545 | 0.0645 | 645 |
Genius Sports Target Price Consensus
Genius target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Genius Sports' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 12 | Strong Buy |
Most Genius analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Genius stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Genius Sports, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationGenius Sports Target Price Projection
Genius Sports' current and average target prices are 10.41 and 11.50, respectively. The current price of Genius Sports is the price at which Genius Sports is currently trading. On the other hand, Genius Sports' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Genius Sports Market Quote on 22nd of March 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Genius Sports Target Price
Genius Sports Analyst Ratings
Genius Sports' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Genius Sports stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Genius Sports' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Genius Sports' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Genius Sports' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Genius Sports is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genius Sports backward and forwards among themselves. Genius Sports' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Genius Sports' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 5.7 M | Discovery Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 5.2 M | Hood River Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.4 M | Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.5 M | Portolan Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M | Samjo Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Caledonia (private) Investments Pty Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 18.4 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-12-31 | 13 M |
Genius Sports' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.34 B.Market Cap |
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Genius Sports' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.18) | (0.19) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.10) | (0.10) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.08) | (0.08) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.12) |
Determining Genius Sports' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Genius Sports is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Genius Sports' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Genius Sports' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Evaluate Genius Sports' management efficiency
Genius Sports has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0449) % which means that it has lost $0.0449 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1101) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Genius Sports' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Genius Sports manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to -0.19. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to -0.1. As of now, Genius Sports' Fixed Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.49 | 2.37 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 0.57 | 0.60 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 115.67 | 121.45 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 3.47 | 3.64 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 115.67 | 121.45 | |
| Price Fair Value | 3.47 | 3.64 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1.9 B | 966.4 M |
Leadership effectiveness at Genius Sports is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Beta 2.148 |
Basic technical analysis of Genius Stock
As of the 22nd of March, Genius Sports retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.56), risk adjusted performance of 0.0406, and Downside Deviation of 2.82. Genius Sports technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.Genius Sports' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Genius Sports issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Genius Sports uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Genius bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Genius Sports has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Morgan Stanley 3591 Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley 3971 Corp BondUS61744YAL20 | View | |
| Valero Energy Partners Corp BondUS91914JAA07 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View |
Understand Genius Sports' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Genius Sports' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0406 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.56) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2660.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.057 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1082 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3718 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0648 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.57) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.51) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8537 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0406 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.56) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2660.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Variance | 10.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.057 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1082 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3718 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0648 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.57) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.51) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8537 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
Consider Genius Sports' intraday indicators
Genius Sports intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Genius Sports stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Genius Sports Corporate Filings
| 14th of March 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
6K | 4th of March 2025 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
| 14th of February 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
| 15th of January 2025 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Genius Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Genius Sports that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Genius media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Genius internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Genius data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Genius Sports news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Genius Sports relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Genius Sports' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Genius Sports alpha.
Genius Sports Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Genius Sports can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Genius Sports Corporate Management
| Daniel Burns | Director | Profile | |
| Brandon Bukstel | Investor Manager | Profile | |
| Chris Dougan | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Harry You | Independent Director | Profile |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Genius Sports. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genius Sports. If investors know Genius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genius Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.38 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Genius Sports is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genius Sports' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genius Sports' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genius Sports' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genius Sports' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Genius Sports' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Genius Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genius Sports' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.