Genius Sports Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GENI Stock | USD 9.19 0.04 0.44% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Genius Sports is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Genius Sports' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Genius Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Genius and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Genius Sports. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Genius |
Execute Genius Sports Buy or Sell Advice
The Genius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Genius Sports. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Genius Sports or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Genius Sports' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Genius Sports Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Genius Sports had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 412.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (85.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.71 M. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Genius Sports Limited the Best Meme Stock To Buy Right Now |
Genius Sports Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Genius Sports' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Genius Sports' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Genius Sports daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Genius Sports price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Genius Sports returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Genius Sports.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -4.51 | Potential Upside | 5.16 | Standard Deviation | 3.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Genius Sports historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Genius Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 5.7 M | Discovery Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 5.2 M | Hood River Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Ark Investment Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 4.4 M | Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.5 M | Portolan Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.1 M | Samjo Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | Caledonia (private) Investments Pty Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 18.4 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-12-31 | 13 M |
Genius Sports Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (22.7M) | (132.3M) | (54.8M) | (45.8M) | (41.2M) | (43.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 3.6M | 210.6M | (63.4M) | (33.2M) | (29.9M) | (28.4M) | |
| Depreciation | 35.0M | 59.4M | 68.5M | 77.3M | 88.9M | 52.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 18.8M | 33.4M | 47.6M | 49.1M | 56.5M | 32.0M | |
| Net Income | (30.3M) | (592.8M) | (181.6M) | (85.5M) | (77.0M) | (80.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.8M | 222.4M | 159.0M | 125.8M | 144.7M | 101.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.7M) | (96.7M) | (51.0M) | (34.3M) | (30.8M) | (32.4M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.1M | 34.3M | 1.6M | 14.0M | 16.1M | 14.0M |
Genius Sports Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Genius Sports or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Genius Sports' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Genius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Genius Sports Volatility Alert
Genius Sports exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.99 and kurtosis of 2.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Genius Sports' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Genius Sports' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Genius Sports Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Genius Sports' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Genius Sports' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Genius Sports and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Genius Sports or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Genius Sports' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genius Sports by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Genius Sports to competition |
| Fundamentals | Genius Sports | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0449 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 228.77 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 30.92 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 3.67 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 412.98 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 128.71 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5.64 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (85.53 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 138.48 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.71 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.7 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.88 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 15.48 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.27) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 12.21 | |
| Beta | 2.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.1 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 775.72 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.02 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 61.87 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 775.72 M |
Genius Sports Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Genius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Genius Sports Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Genius Sports? Buying financial instruments such as Genius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Genius Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genius Sports. If investors know Genius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genius Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.38 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Genius Sports is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genius Sports' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genius Sports' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genius Sports' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genius Sports' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genius Sports' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genius Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genius Sports' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.