Genius Sports Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GENI Stock  USD 9.19  0.04  0.44%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Genius Sports is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Genius Sports' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Genius Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Genius and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Genius Sports. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Genius Sports Buy or Sell Advice

The Genius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Genius Sports. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Genius Sports or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Genius Sports' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Genius SportsBuy Genius Sports
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Genius Sports has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of 0.0309, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3518 and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Genius Sports. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Genius Sports is not overpriced, please check out all Genius Sports fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Genius Sports has a shares owned by institutions of 83.28 %, we strongly advise you to confirm Genius Sports market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Genius Sports Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Genius Sports had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 412.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (85.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.71 M.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is Genius Sports Limited the Best Meme Stock To Buy Right Now

Genius Sports Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Genius Sports' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Genius Sports' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Genius Sports daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Genius Sports price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Genius Sports returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Genius Sports.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-4.51
Potential Upside
5.16
Standard Deviation
3.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Genius Sports historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Genius Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd2024-12-31
5.7 M
Discovery Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
5.2 M
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
4.5 M
Ark Investment Management Llc2024-12-31
4.4 M
Divisadero Street Capital Management, Lp2024-12-31
3.6 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
3.5 M
Portolan Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Samjo Management Llc2024-12-31
M
Caledonia (private) Investments Pty Ltd2024-12-31
18.4 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-12-31
13 M
Note, although Genius Sports' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Genius Sports Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(22.7M)(132.3M)(54.8M)(45.8M)(41.2M)(43.3M)
Change In Cash3.6M210.6M(63.4M)(33.2M)(29.9M)(28.4M)
Depreciation35.0M59.4M68.5M77.3M88.9M52.3M
Capital Expenditures18.8M33.4M47.6M49.1M56.5M32.0M
Net Income(30.3M)(592.8M)(181.6M)(85.5M)(77.0M)(80.8M)
End Period Cash Flow11.8M222.4M159.0M125.8M144.7M101.0M
Free Cash Flow(1.7M)(96.7M)(51.0M)(34.3M)(30.8M)(32.4M)
Other Non Cash Items7.1M34.3M1.6M14.0M16.1M14.0M

Genius Sports Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Genius Sports or Interactive Media & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Genius Sports' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Genius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
3.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Genius Sports Volatility Alert

Genius Sports exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.99 and kurtosis of 2.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Genius Sports' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Genius Sports' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Genius Sports Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Genius Sports' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Genius Sports' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Genius Sports and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Genius Sports or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Genius Sports' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genius Sports by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Genius Sports to competition
FundamentalsGenius SportsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0449-0.14
Profit Margin(0.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding228.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted30.92 M4.71 M
Price To Book3.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.12 X11.42 X
Revenue412.98 M9.43 B
Gross Profit128.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA5.64 M3.9 B
Net Income(85.53 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents138.48 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.71 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.88 M971.22 M
Short Ratio15.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.27) X3.12 X
Target Price12.21
Beta2.15-0.15
Market Capitalization2.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset775.72 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.02 B)9.33 B
Working Capital61.87 M1.48 B
Net Asset775.72 M

Genius Sports Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Genius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Genius Sports Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Genius Sports? Buying financial instruments such as Genius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Genius Sports in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Emerging Markets Funds
Emerging Markets Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in markets of developing countries. The Emerging Markets Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Genius Sports offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Genius Sports' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Genius Sports Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Genius Sports Stock:
Check out Genius Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genius Sports. If investors know Genius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genius Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.27)
Revenue Per Share
2.226
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.38
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.11)
The market value of Genius Sports is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genius Sports' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genius Sports' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genius Sports' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genius Sports' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genius Sports' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genius Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genius Sports' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.