1st Source Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| SRCE Stock | USD 61.56 0.67 1.08% |
1st | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
1st Source Company probability of distress Analysis
1st Source's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current 1st Source Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of 1st Source's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, 1st Source is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of 1st Source probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting 1st Source odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of 1st Source financial health.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1st Source. If investors know 1st will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 1st Source listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | Dividend Share 1.42 | Earnings Share 5.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of 1st Source is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 1st that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 1st Source's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 1st Source's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 1st Source's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 1st Source's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Source's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Source is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Source's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
1st Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for 1st Source is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of 1st Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since 1st Source's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of 1st Source's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of 1st Source's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, 1st Source has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
1st Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses 1st Source's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of 1st Source could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1st Source by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.1st Source is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
1st Source Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Asset Turnover | 0.0494 | 0.0491 | 0.0451 | 0.0416 | 0.0425 | 0.0542 | |
| Net Debt | 73.5M | 80.9M | 94.7M | 264.1M | 100.0M | 86.0M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 7.1M | 5.3M | 74.1M | 151.2M | 176.9M | 168.0M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 140.6M | 130.0M | 74.1M | 7.5B | 7.6B | 8.0B | |
| Total Assets | 7.3B | 8.1B | 8.3B | 8.7B | 8.9B | 4.6B | |
| Total Current Assets | 1.6B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 106.4M | 1.6B | 1.7B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 154.5M | 166.8M | 175.5M | 187.9M | 193.9M | 203.5M |
1st Source ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, 1st Source's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to 1st Source's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
1st Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.015 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.44 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.82 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 24.55 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 24.78 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.90 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 188.09 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.73 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.08 X | ||||
| Revenue | 484.02 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 374.66 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 7.09 M | ||||
| Net Income | 132.62 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 144.52 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.86 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 176.85 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 7.06 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 45.31 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 193.85 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.16 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.36 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.03 X | ||||
| Target Price | 69.5 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 1.21 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.77 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.53 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.93 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 890.94 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 2.38 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 8.93 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.42 |
About 1st Source Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze 1st Source's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of 1st Source using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of 1st Source based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Check out 1st Source Piotroski F Score and 1st Source Altman Z Score analysis. For information on how to trade 1st Stock refer to our How to Trade 1st Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1st Source. If investors know 1st will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 1st Source listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.102 | Dividend Share 1.42 | Earnings Share 5.36 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of 1st Source is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 1st that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 1st Source's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 1st Source's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 1st Source's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 1st Source's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Source's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Source is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Source's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.