German American Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GABC Stock  USD 37.93  0.66  1.71%   
German American's odds of distress is under 9% at the present time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the German balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out German American Piotroski F Score and German American Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 1.3 B. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 1.3 B

German American Bancorp Company probability of distress Analysis

German American's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current German American Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 9%  
Most of German American's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, German American Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of German American probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting German American odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of German American Bancorp financial health.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of German American. If investors know German will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about German American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.075
Dividend Share
1.1
Earnings Share
2.83
Revenue Per Share
8.446
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
The market value of German American Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of German that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of German American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is German American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because German American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect German American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between German American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if German American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, German American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

German Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for German American is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of German Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since German American's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of German American's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of German American's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, German American Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 81.97% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

German Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses German American's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of German American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing German American by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
German American is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

German American Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01350.01250.0150.01330.0140.00872
Asset Turnover0.04210.03930.04220.04070.03410.0472
Net Debt136.6M105.0M151.6M48.7M83.5M119.4M
Total Current Liabilities51.8M43.6M68.7M7.1M6.4M6.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total194.5M152.2M68.7M5.5B153.3M145.6M
Total Assets5.0B5.6B6.2B6.2B6.3B6.6B
Total Current Assets391.0M441.2M119.6M115.3M1.6B1.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities92.4M100.8M110.0M107.2M95.8M100.6M

German American ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, German American's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to German American's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

German Fundamentals

About German American Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze German American Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of German American using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of German American Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether German American Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of German American's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of German American Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on German American Bancorp Stock:
Check out German American Piotroski F Score and German American Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of German American. If investors know German will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about German American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.075
Dividend Share
1.1
Earnings Share
2.83
Revenue Per Share
8.446
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
The market value of German American Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of German that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of German American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is German American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because German American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect German American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between German American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if German American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, German American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.