Capital One Financial Stock Beneish M Score

COF Stock  USD 174.82  0.35  0.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Capital One to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Capital One M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Capital One's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Capital One's current Total Debt To Capitalization is estimated to increase to 0.67, while Net Debt is forecasted to increase to (2.9 B). At this time, Capital One's Book Value Per Share is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Capital One's current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 49.82, while Days Sales Outstanding is projected to decrease to 22.45.
At this time, it appears that Capital One Financial is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Capital One's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Capital One executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Capital One's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.62
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.07

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.91

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.75

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.9

Focus

Capital One Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Capital One's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables2.7 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue41.1 B39.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets514.7 B490.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets60.3 B88.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total18.6 B19.6 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment3.1 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization3.4 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative9.9 B9.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities632.7 M666 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total37.6 B45 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt587.8 M618.7 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt34.3 B45 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities19.1 B18.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments41.7 B83 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments151.6 B83 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin1.071.177
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

Capital One Financial Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Capital One's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Capital One in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Capital One's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Capital One Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

41.07 Billion

At this time, Capital One's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Capital One Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Capital One. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables1.5B1.5B2.1B2.5B2.5B2.7B
Total Revenue28.5B30.4B34.3B36.8B39.1B41.1B
Total Assets421.6B432.4B455.2B478.5B490.1B514.7B
Total Current Assets142.4B118.5B33.0B45.8B88.6B60.3B
Net Debt(638M)20.5B17.0B6.0B(3.0B)(2.9B)
Short Term Debt7.2B9.1B6.5B538M618.7M587.8M
Long Term Debt39.9B42.3B47.8B49.3B45.0B34.3B
Operating Income3.2B15.8B13.4B(4M)11.6M11.0M
Investments(17.4B)4.4B8.9B(23.7B)(26.4B)(25.1B)

Capital One ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Capital One's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Capital One's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Capital One Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Capital One Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Capital One using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Capital One Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Capital One's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Capital One's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Capital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.6
Dividend Share
2.4
Earnings Share
11.58
Revenue Per Share
71.586
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.135
The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.