Tpg Re Finance Stock Price Prediction

TRTX Stock  USD 9.01  0.03  0.33%   
At this time, The RSI of TPG RE's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TPG RE, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TPG RE's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TPG RE Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TPG RE's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.395
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.25
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.12
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.104
Wall Street Target Price
9.9167
Using TPG RE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TPG RE Finance from the perspective of TPG RE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TPG RE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TPG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

TPG RE after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out TPG RE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TPG RE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.718.319.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.649.2410.84
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.057.758.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.280.29
Details

TPG RE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of TPG RE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TPG RE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TPG RE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

TPG RE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting TPG RE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TPG RE's historical news coverage. TPG RE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.44 and 10.64, respectively. We have considered TPG RE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.01
9.04
After-hype Price
10.64
Upside
TPG RE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TPG RE Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.

TPG RE Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TPG RE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPG RE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TPG RE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.60
 0.00  
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.01
9.04
0.00 
16,000  
Notes

TPG RE Hype Timeline

TPG RE Finance is at this time traded for 9.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. TPG is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on TPG RE is about 2871.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.00. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TPG RE Finance has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out TPG RE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

TPG RE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to TPG RE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TPG RE's future price movements. Getting to know how TPG RE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TPG RE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EARNEllington Residential Mortgage 0.04 8 per month 0.98 (0.09) 1.74 (1.76) 5.14 
ACREAres Commercial Real 0.17 8 per month 1.68 (0.02) 2.72 (2.67) 13.22 
NREFNexpoint Real Estate(0.45)9 per month 1.93  0.02  3.01 (2.75) 11.85 
EFCEllington Financial(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.98 (1.18) 4.25 
ARIApollo Commercial Real(0.09)6 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.47 (2.25) 7.06 
FBRTFranklin BSP Realty(0.15)9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.67 (2.19) 5.83 
CHMICherry Hill Mortgage 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.96 (2.98) 12.10 
KREFKKR Real Estate(0.08)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.66 (2.82) 8.63 
RCReady Capital Corp(0.18)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.95 (3.17) 8.18 
BRMKBroadmark Realty Capital(0.15)6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.02 (4.08) 8.68 
DXDynex Capital 0.14 7 per month 1.03 (0.08) 1.38 (1.47) 4.37 
AGNCNAGNC Investment Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.21 (0.15) 0.63 (0.58) 2.32 
AJXGreat Ajax Corp 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.78 (3.19) 108.21 
LADRLadder Capital Corp 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.45 (2.06) 6.50 

TPG RE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TPG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TPG using various technical indicators. When you analyze TPG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About TPG RE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of TPG RE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TPG RE Finance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TPG RE based on analysis of TPG RE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TPG RE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TPG RE's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.680.39
Dividend Yield0.0790.18

Story Coverage note for TPG RE

The number of cover stories for TPG RE depends on current market conditions and TPG RE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TPG RE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TPG RE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TPG RE Short Properties

TPG RE's future price predictability will typically decrease when TPG RE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TPG RE Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TPG RE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPG RE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments206.4 M

Additional Tools for TPG Stock Analysis

When running TPG RE's price analysis, check to measure TPG RE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG RE is operating at the current time. Most of TPG RE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG RE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG RE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG RE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.