Tpg Re Finance Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TRTX Stock  USD 8.54  0.09  1.07%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding TPG RE Finance is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell TPG RE Finance given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for TPG RE Finance, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out TPG RE Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TPG and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards TPG RE Finance. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute TPG RE Buy or Sell Advice

The TPG recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TPG RE Finance. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TPG RE Finance or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TPG RE's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TPG REBuy TPG RE
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon TPG RE Finance has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of 0.0305, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1407 and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on TPG RE. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure TPG RE Finance is not overpriced, please validate all TPG RE fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that TPG RE Finance has a price to earning of 7.55 X, we advise you to double-check TPG RE Finance market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

TPG RE Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TPG RE Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 24th of January 2025 TPG RE paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: TPG RE Finance Trust declares 0.24 dividend

TPG RE Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TPG RE's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TPG RE's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TPG RE daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TPG RE Finance price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TPG RE returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TPG RE.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-2.16
Potential Upside
1.92
Standard Deviation
1.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TPG RE historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TPG Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as TPG RE, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TPG RE Finance back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Gratia Capital, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
776.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
737.1 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
704.4 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
703.9 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-12-31
698.1 K
Long Pond Capital, Lp2024-12-31
7.3 M
Tpg Gp A, Llc2024-12-31
7.1 M
Note, although TPG RE's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TPG RE Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments1.2B(252.6M)(462.1M)1.1B440.5M462.5M
Change In Cash240.0M(58.6M)(6.7M)(47.3M)(16.5M)(15.7M)
Net Borrowings1.2B(1.0B)364.6M457.0M411.3M281.5M
Free Cash Flow132.1M132.2M95.4M74.8M112.1M115.6M
Depreciation2.4M8.7M(11.1M)3.5M15.7M16.5M
Other Non Cash Items270.9M(12.1M)176.0M184.4M6.9M6.5M
Dividends Paid111.6M98.3M92.9M88.4M90.4M99.3M
Net Income(136.8M)138.6M(60.1M)(116.6M)74.3M78.1M
End Period Cash Flow319.7M261.0M254.3M207.0M190.5M180.1M
Change To Netincome(13.5M)278.9M(24.5M)164.7M189.5M198.9M

TPG RE Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TPG RE or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TPG RE's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TPG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

TPG RE Volatility Alert

TPG RE Finance exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.85 and kurtosis of 2.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TPG RE's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TPG RE's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TPG RE Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TPG RE's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TPG RE's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TPG RE and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TPG RE or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TPG RE's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TPG RE by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TPG RE to competition
FundamentalsTPG REPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0664-0.31
Return On Asset0.0187-0.14
Profit Margin0.50 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.35 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.86 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.58 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.11 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.64 X11.42 X
Revenue44.82 M9.43 B
Gross Profit113.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.6 M3.9 B
Net Income74.33 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents355.99 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.60 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.57 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio104.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.75 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations112.13 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.75 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.43 X4.89 X
Target Price9.75
Beta2.29-0.15
Market Capitalization691.77 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.73 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(617.22 M)9.33 B
Working Capital125.68 M1.48 B
Current Asset168.43 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Michael Gillmore of 882 shares of TPG RE at 8.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

TPG RE Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TPG . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TPG RE Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TPG RE Finance? Buying financial instruments such as TPG Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Coal
Coal Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Coal theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Coal Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for TPG Stock Analysis

When running TPG RE's price analysis, check to measure TPG RE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPG RE is operating at the current time. Most of TPG RE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPG RE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPG RE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPG RE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.