Sp Global Stock Price Prediction

SPGI Stock  USD 491.81  5.25  1.08%   
As of 20th of December 2024, The RSI of SP Global's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SP Global, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SP Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SP Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SP Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.335
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.17
EPS Estimate Current Year
15.2759
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.8396
Wall Street Target Price
579.9605
Using SP Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SP Global from the perspective of SP Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

SP Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SP Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SPGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SPGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SP Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SP Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SP Global.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SP Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SPGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SP Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 492.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SP Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SPGI Stock please use our How to Invest in SP Global guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
470.12471.12542.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
474.60475.61476.62
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
403.86443.80492.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.803.823.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SP Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SP Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SP Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SP Global.

SP Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SP Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SP Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SP Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SP Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SP Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SP Global's historical news coverage. SP Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 491.90 and 493.92, respectively. We have considered SP Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
491.81
491.90
Downside
492.91
After-hype Price
493.92
Upside
SP Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SP Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

SP Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SP Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SP Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SP Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.01
  0.30 
  0.10 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
491.81
492.91
0.08 
26.65  
Notes

SP Global Hype Timeline

SP Global is at this time traded for 491.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. SPGI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 492.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 26.65%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on SP Global is about 77.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 491.91. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SP Global was at this time reported as 109.55. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. SP Global recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.32. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of May 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out SP Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in SPGI Stock please use our How to Invest in SP Global guide.

SP Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SP Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SP Global's future price movements. Getting to know how SP Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SP Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SP Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SPGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SP Global Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SP Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SP Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SP Global based on analysis of SP Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SP Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SP Global's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0065380.0096470.0081780.007769
Price To Sales Ratio13.79.4911.2211.78

Story Coverage note for SP Global

The number of cover stories for SP Global depends on current market conditions and SP Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SP Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SP Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SP Global Short Properties

SP Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when SP Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SP Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SP Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SP Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding318.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Complementary Tools for SPGI Stock analysis

When running SP Global's price analysis, check to measure SP Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SP Global is operating at the current time. Most of SP Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SP Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SP Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SP Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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