Moodys Stock Price Prediction

MCO Stock  USD 494.76  3.60  0.73%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Moodys' share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Moodys, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Moodys' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Moodys, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Moodys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moodys from the perspective of Moodys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moodys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moodys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Moodys after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 494.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moodys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
484.76485.91544.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
489.10490.25491.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
456.82482.60508.37
Details

Moodys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Moodys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moodys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moodys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Moodys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Moodys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moodys' historical news coverage. Moodys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 493.61 and 495.91, respectively. We have considered Moodys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
494.76
493.61
Downside
494.76
After-hype Price
495.91
Upside
Moodys is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moodys is based on 3 months time horizon.

Moodys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moodys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moodys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moodys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.15
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
494.76
494.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Moodys Hype Timeline

On the 8th of December Moodys is traded for 494.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Moodys is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Moodys is about 560.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 494.77. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. Moodys recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.

Moodys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Moodys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moodys' future price movements. Getting to know how Moodys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moodys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Moodys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Moodys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moodys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moodys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Moodys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Moodys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moodys, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moodys based on analysis of Moodys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moodys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moodys's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Moodys

The number of cover stories for Moodys depends on current market conditions and Moodys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moodys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moodys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Moodys Short Properties

Moodys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Moodys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moodys often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moodys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moodys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B
When determining whether Moodys offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Moodys' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Moodys Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Moodys Stock:
Check out Moodys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Moodys Stock, please use our How to Invest in Moodys guide.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moodys. If investors know Moodys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moodys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Moodys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moodys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moodys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moodys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moodys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moodys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moodys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moodys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moodys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.