Shengfeng Development Limited Stock Price Prediction
| SFWL Stock | 1.01 0.01 1.00% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 |
Using Shengfeng Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shengfeng Development Limited from the perspective of Shengfeng Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shengfeng Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shengfeng because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shengfeng Development after-hype prediction price | USD 1.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shengfeng |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shengfeng Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shengfeng Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shengfeng Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shengfeng Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shengfeng Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shengfeng Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shengfeng Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shengfeng Development's historical news coverage. Shengfeng Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 3.07, respectively. We have considered Shengfeng Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shengfeng Development is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shengfeng Development is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shengfeng Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shengfeng Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shengfeng Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shengfeng Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.01 | 1.01 | 0.00 |
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Shengfeng Development Hype Timeline
Shengfeng Development is at this time traded for 1.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Shengfeng is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shengfeng Development is about 3109.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.01. About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shengfeng Development had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Shengfeng Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shengfeng Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shengfeng Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shengfeng Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Shengfeng Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shengfeng Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JYD | Jayud Global Logistics | (0.07) | 2 per month | 6.70 | 0.16 | 17.59 | (12.88) | 55.39 | |
| CRGO | Freightos Limited Ordinary | (0.09) | 7 per month | 5.28 | 0.11 | 9.90 | (8.71) | 30.74 | |
| AIRT | Air T Inc | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.17 | (4.07) | 20.36 | |
| PGUUF | Prosegur Cash SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FWRD | Forward Air | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.61 | (6.28) | 21.86 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 0.54 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.01 | (3.55) | 7.02 | |
| LSTR | Landstar System | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.94 | (2.57) | 8.73 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | 0.28 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (2.23) | 11.46 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.17 | (2.47) | 8.61 |
Shengfeng Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shengfeng price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shengfeng using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shengfeng charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shengfeng Development Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shengfeng Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shengfeng Development Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shengfeng Development based on analysis of Shengfeng Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shengfeng Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shengfeng Development's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 92.68 | 95.08 | 109.35 | 103.9 | PTB Ratio | 3.63 | 2.23 | 2.56 | 3.99 |
Story Coverage note for Shengfeng Development
The number of cover stories for Shengfeng Development depends on current market conditions and Shengfeng Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shengfeng Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shengfeng Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shengfeng Development Short Properties
Shengfeng Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shengfeng Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shengfeng Development Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shengfeng Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shengfeng Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.7 M |
Check out Shengfeng Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shengfeng Development. If investors know Shengfeng will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shengfeng Development listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Earnings Share 0.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.228 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Shengfeng Development is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shengfeng that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shengfeng Development's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shengfeng Development's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shengfeng Development's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shengfeng Development's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shengfeng Development's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shengfeng Development is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shengfeng Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.