Forward Air Stock Price Prediction
| FWRD Stock | USD 25.75 1.68 6.12% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.45 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2367 | Wall Street Target Price 35.985 |
Using Forward Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Forward Air from the perspective of Forward Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Forward Air using Forward Air's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Forward using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Forward Air's stock price.
Forward Air Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Forward Air's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Forward Air stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Forward Air's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Forward Air stock will not fluctuate a lot when Forward Air's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Forward Air to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Forward because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Forward Air after-hype prediction price | USD 27.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Forward contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Forward Air will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Forward Air trading at USD 25.75, that is roughly USD 0.0179 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Forward Air's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Forward Air options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Forward |
Forward Air After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Forward Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Forward Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Forward Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Forward Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Forward Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Forward Air's historical news coverage. Forward Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.84 and 30.76, respectively. We have considered Forward Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Forward Air is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Forward Air is based on 3 months time horizon.
Forward Air Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Forward Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forward Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Forward Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 3.03 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.75 | 27.80 | 1.35 |
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Forward Air Hype Timeline
Forward Air is currently traded for 25.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.57. Forward is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Forward Air is about 290.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.18. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.37 B. Net Income was 42.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 444.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Forward Air Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Forward Air Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Forward Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Forward Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Forward Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Forward Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSTR | Landstar System | (2.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.06 | (2.29) | 6.83 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | (3.12) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.71 | (2.88) | 10.65 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | 0.60 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.91 | (1.58) | 5.35 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.78 | (2.20) | 11.46 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.16 | (3.55) | 8.74 |
Forward Air Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Forward price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Forward using various technical indicators. When you analyze Forward charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Forward Air Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Forward Air stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Forward Air, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Forward Air based on analysis of Forward Air hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Forward Air's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Forward Air's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009207 | 0.0153 | 0.0176 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.42 | 1.19 | 1.07 |
Story Coverage note for Forward Air
The number of cover stories for Forward Air depends on current market conditions and Forward Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Forward Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Forward Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Forward Air Short Properties
Forward Air's future price predictability will typically decrease when Forward Air's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Forward Air often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Forward Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forward Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 122 M |
Complementary Tools for Forward Stock analysis
When running Forward Air's price analysis, check to measure Forward Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forward Air is operating at the current time. Most of Forward Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forward Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forward Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forward Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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