Hub Group Stock Price Prediction
| HUBG Stock | USD 40.77 1.41 3.34% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4781 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1972 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8196 | Wall Street Target Price 48.2 |
Using Hub hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hub Group from the perspective of Hub response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hub using Hub's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hub using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hub's stock price.
Hub Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Hub's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hub. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hub stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 44.7727 | Short Percent 0.0078 | Short Ratio 1.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 723.6 K | 50 Day MA 44.5514 |
Hub Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hub's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hub. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hub can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hub Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hub's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hub.
Hub Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Hub's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hub Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hub's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hub stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hub's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hub to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hub because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hub after-hype prediction price | USD 40.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hub contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hub Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Hub trading at USD 40.77, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hub's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hub Group options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Hub |
Hub After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hub at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hub or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hub, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hub Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hub's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hub's historical news coverage. Hub's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.13 and 42.41, respectively. We have considered Hub's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hub is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hub Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hub Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hub is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hub backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hub, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.64 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.77 | 40.77 | 0.00 |
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Hub Hype Timeline
Hub Group is currently traded for 40.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Hub is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hub is about 488.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.90. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hub Group last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 29th of January 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Hub Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hub Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hub's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hub's future price movements. Getting to know how Hub's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hub may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSTR | Landstar System | 2.31 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.06 | (2.29) | 6.83 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | 1.77 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.71 | (2.88) | 10.65 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | (3.45) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 1.91 | (1.58) | 5.35 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.78 | (2.20) | 11.46 | |
| FWRD | Forward Air | 1.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.74 | (4.65) | 17.07 |
Hub Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hub price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hub using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hub charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Hub Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hub stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hub Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hub based on analysis of Hub hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hub's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hub's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0129 | 0.0122 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.68 | 0.61 |
Story Coverage note for Hub
The number of cover stories for Hub depends on current market conditions and Hub's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hub is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hub's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hub Short Properties
Hub's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hub's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hub Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hub's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hub's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Hub Stock analysis
When running Hub's price analysis, check to measure Hub's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hub is operating at the current time. Most of Hub's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hub's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hub's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hub to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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