Pacific Premier Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

PPBI Stock  USD 22.36  0.76  3.52%   
As of 16th of March 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of Pacific Premier's share price is approaching 34 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pacific Premier, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pacific Premier's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pacific Premier Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pacific Premier's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2867
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3067
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.5433
Wall Street Target Price
28.4286
Using Pacific Premier hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Premier Bancorp from the perspective of Pacific Premier response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pacific Premier using Pacific Premier's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pacific using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pacific Premier's stock price.

Pacific Premier Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Pacific Premier's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pacific. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pacific Premier stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
24.8923
Short Percent
0.022
Short Ratio
2.7
Shares Short Prior Month
1.3 M
50 Day MA
24.2982

Pacific Premier Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pacific Premier's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pacific. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pacific can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pacific Premier Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pacific Premier's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pacific Premier.

Pacific Premier Implied Volatility

    
  0.71  
Pacific Premier's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pacific Premier Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pacific Premier's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pacific Premier stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pacific Premier's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pacific Premier to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pacific because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pacific Premier after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pacific contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pacific Premier Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Pacific Premier trading at USD 22.36, that is roughly USD 0.009922 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pacific Premier's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pacific Premier Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Pacific Premier Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.1226.1928.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7922.7524.72
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.5229.1432.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.300.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Premier. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Premier's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Premier's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Premier Bancorp.

Pacific Premier After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pacific Premier at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Premier or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pacific Premier, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pacific Premier Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pacific Premier's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Premier's historical news coverage. Pacific Premier's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.37 and 24.31, respectively. We have considered Pacific Premier's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.36
22.34
After-hype Price
24.31
Upside
Pacific Premier is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Premier Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pacific Premier Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pacific Premier is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Premier backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Premier, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.97
  0.02 
  0.07 
8 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.36
22.34
0.09 
3,283  
Notes

Pacific Premier Hype Timeline

Pacific Premier Bancorp is at this time traded for 22.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Pacific is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Premier is about 871.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.29. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pacific Premier Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2025. The firm had 1:5 split on the 12th of June 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Pacific Premier Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Premier Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Premier's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Premier's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Premier's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Premier may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.34 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.28 (2.17) 6.01 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.13)8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.33 (3.27) 8.15 
HMNFHMN Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.29)8 per month 1.04  0.06  1.17 (1.77) 4.77 
BSRRSierra Bancorp(0.76)11 per month 0.00  0.0006  2.21 (3.08) 11.56 
PEBOPeoples Bancorp(1.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.17 (3.31) 7.15 
EGBNEagle Bancorp 0.08 12 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.87 (3.78) 8.86 
NRIMNorthrim BanCorp(1.61)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.44 (3.45) 9.90 
UBSIUnited Bankshares 0.10 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.79 (2.96) 7.17 
BANRBanner 0.43 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.61 (2.74) 9.28 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp(0.09)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.12 (3.37) 9.41 
BFINBankFinancial(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0) 2.42 (3.20) 8.46 
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp 0.07 8 per month 0.00 (0.0006) 2.22 (2.81) 7.95 

Pacific Premier Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pacific Premier Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pacific Premier stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pacific Premier Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pacific Premier based on analysis of Pacific Premier hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pacific Premier's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pacific Premier's related companies.
 2021 2023 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03260.04610.0566
Price To Sales Ratio4.996.222.18

Story Coverage note for Pacific Premier

The number of cover stories for Pacific Premier depends on current market conditions and Pacific Premier's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Premier is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Premier's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pacific Premier Short Properties

Pacific Premier's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pacific Premier's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pacific Premier Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pacific Premier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pacific Premier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Complementary Tools for Pacific Stock analysis

When running Pacific Premier's price analysis, check to measure Pacific Premier's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pacific Premier is operating at the current time. Most of Pacific Premier's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pacific Premier's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pacific Premier's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pacific Premier to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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