Pbf Energy Stock Price Prediction

PBF Stock  USD 20.74  1.07  5.44%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of PBF Energy's share price is below 30 as of 15th of March 2025 indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling PBF Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 25

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PBF Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PBF Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PBF Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PBF Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PBF Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.05)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.06)
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.6303
Wall Street Target Price
24.5385
Using PBF Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PBF Energy from the perspective of PBF Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PBF Energy using PBF Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PBF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PBF Energy's stock price.

PBF Energy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in PBF Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PBF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PBF Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
32.9257
Short Percent
0.1818
Short Ratio
5.67
Shares Short Prior Month
11.7 M
50 Day MA
25.9144

PBF Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to PBF Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PBF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PBF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PBF Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PBF Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PBF Energy.

PBF Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.73  
PBF Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PBF Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PBF Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PBF Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when PBF Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PBF Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PBF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PBF Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PBF contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PBF Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With PBF Energy trading at USD 20.74, that is roughly USD 0.009463 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PBF Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PBF Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out PBF Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PBF Stock please use our How to Invest in PBF Energy guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2723.8127.35
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.5-1.87-0.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PBF Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PBF Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PBF Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PBF Energy.

PBF Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PBF Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PBF Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PBF Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PBF Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PBF Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PBF Energy's historical news coverage. PBF Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.47 and 24.55, respectively. We have considered PBF Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.74
21.01
After-hype Price
24.55
Upside
PBF Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PBF Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

PBF Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PBF Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PBF Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PBF Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.40 
3.51
  0.26 
  0.07 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.74
21.01
1.30 
531.82  
Notes

PBF Energy Hype Timeline

On the 15th of March 2025 PBF Energy is traded for 20.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. PBF is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.3%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on PBF Energy is about 1903.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (540.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 366.9 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out PBF Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in PBF Stock please use our How to Invest in PBF Energy guide.

PBF Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PBF Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PBF Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how PBF Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PBF Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DKDelek Energy 0.55 9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 4.84 (5.12) 16.57 
CVICVR Energy(0.81)9 per month 2.69  0.06  5.02 (4.18) 12.26 
VLOValero Energy(4.20)9 per month 2.27  0.05  3.48 (3.19) 9.59 
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp 3.44 9 per month 0.00  0.01  3.15 (3.75) 12.00 
DKLDelek Logistics Partners(0.35)12 per month 0.99  0.18  2.92 (1.98) 6.06 
DINOHF Sinclair Corp(1.96)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.90 (4.79) 12.94 
PARRPar Pacific Holdings(2.15)7 per month 0.00 (0.01) 4.89 (6.50) 16.24 
PSXPhillips 66 3.62 8 per month 1.92  0.06  3.44 (3.43) 8.50 
SUNSunoco LP 0.20 11 per month 1.14  0.19  2.39 (2.13) 5.34 

PBF Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PBF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PBF using various technical indicators. When you analyze PBF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PBF Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PBF Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PBF Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PBF Energy based on analysis of PBF Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PBF Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PBF Energy's related companies.
 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.004940.03910.0702
Price To Sales Ratio0.110.09320.0885

Story Coverage note for PBF Energy

The number of cover stories for PBF Energy depends on current market conditions and PBF Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PBF Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PBF Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PBF Energy Short Properties

PBF Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when PBF Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PBF Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PBF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PBF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments536.1 M

Complementary Tools for PBF Stock analysis

When running PBF Energy's price analysis, check to measure PBF Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PBF Energy is operating at the current time. Most of PBF Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PBF Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PBF Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PBF Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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