Pbf Energy Stock Price Prediction
| PBF Stock | USD 20.74 1.07 5.44% |
Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.06) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6303 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5385 |
Using PBF Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PBF Energy from the perspective of PBF Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PBF Energy using PBF Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PBF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PBF Energy's stock price.
PBF Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PBF Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PBF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PBF Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.9257 | Short Percent 0.1818 | Short Ratio 5.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.7 M | 50 Day MA 25.9144 |
PBF Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PBF Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PBF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PBF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PBF Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PBF Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PBF Energy.
PBF Energy Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
PBF Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PBF Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PBF Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PBF Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when PBF Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PBF Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PBF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PBF Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 21.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PBF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PBF Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With PBF Energy trading at USD 20.74, that is roughly USD 0.009463 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PBF Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PBF Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
PBF |
PBF Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PBF Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PBF Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PBF Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PBF Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PBF Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PBF Energy's historical news coverage. PBF Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.49 and 24.51, respectively. We have considered PBF Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PBF Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PBF Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
PBF Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PBF Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PBF Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PBF Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.51 | 0.26 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.74 | 21.00 | 1.25 |
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PBF Energy Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 PBF Energy is traded for 20.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. PBF is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on PBF Energy is about 1903.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (540.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 366.9 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out PBF Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PBF Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PBF Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PBF Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how PBF Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PBF Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.55 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.84 | (5.12) | 16.57 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | (0.81) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.06 | 5.02 | (4.18) | 12.26 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | (4.20) | 9 per month | 2.27 | 0.05 | 3.48 | (3.19) | 9.59 | |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp | 3.44 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.15 | (3.75) | 12.00 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.35) | 12 per month | 0.99 | 0.18 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 6.06 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | (1.96) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.90 | (4.79) | 12.94 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | (2.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.89 | (6.50) | 16.24 | |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 3.62 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.06 | 3.44 | (3.43) | 8.50 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 0.20 | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.19 | 2.39 | (2.13) | 5.34 |
PBF Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PBF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PBF using various technical indicators. When you analyze PBF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PBF Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PBF Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PBF Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PBF Energy based on analysis of PBF Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PBF Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PBF Energy's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00494 | 0.0391 | 0.0702 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.11 | 0.0932 | 0.0885 |
Story Coverage note for PBF Energy
The number of cover stories for PBF Energy depends on current market conditions and PBF Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PBF Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PBF Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PBF Energy Short Properties
PBF Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when PBF Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PBF Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PBF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PBF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 536.1 M |
Complementary Tools for PBF Stock analysis
When running PBF Energy's price analysis, check to measure PBF Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PBF Energy is operating at the current time. Most of PBF Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PBF Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PBF Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PBF Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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