Delek Logistics Partners Stock Price Prediction
DKL Stock | USD 40.04 0.45 1.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.94 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.23 | Wall Street Target Price 44 |
Using Delek Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delek Logistics Partners from the perspective of Delek Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Delek Logistics Partners Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Delek Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Delek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Delek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Delek Logistics Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Delek Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Delek Logistics.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Delek Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Delek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Delek Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 40.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Delek |
Delek Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delek Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delek Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delek Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Delek Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delek Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delek Logistics' historical news coverage. Delek Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.12 and 41.94, respectively. We have considered Delek Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delek Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delek Logistics Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delek Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delek Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delek Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delek Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.91 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.04 | 40.03 | 0.02 |
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Delek Logistics Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Delek Logistics Partners is traded for 40.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Delek is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Delek Logistics is about 1425.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.04. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Delek Logistics Partners last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Delek Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Delek Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delek Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delek Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Delek Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delek Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
CVI | CVR Energy | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.99 | (5.81) | 28.93 | |
PBF | PBF Energy | (0.29) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.52 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.75 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | 0.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.34 | (5.60) | 14.28 | |
SGU | Star Gas Partners | (0.24) | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 3.36 | (2.59) | 9.70 | |
DK | Delek Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 2.64 | (0.04) | 3.44 | (3.90) | 16.10 | |
SUN | Sunoco LP | 1.60 | 8 per month | 1.09 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (1.93) | 5.70 | |
PSX | Phillips 66 | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.68 | (0.07) | 1.81 | (2.97) | 7.77 | |
VLO | Valero Energy | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.96 | (0.06) | 2.87 | (3.31) | 11.46 | |
CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.20 | (0.04) | 2.88 | (2.23) | 6.12 |
Delek Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Delek Logistics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Delek Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Delek Logistics Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Delek Logistics based on analysis of Delek Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Delek Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Delek Logistics's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0871 | 0.0869 | 0.0957 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.65 | 1.9 | 1.84 | 1.1 |
Story Coverage note for Delek Logistics
The number of cover stories for Delek Logistics depends on current market conditions and Delek Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delek Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delek Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Delek Logistics Short Properties
Delek Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Delek Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delek Logistics Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delek Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Delek Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Logistics. If investors know Delek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delek Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 4.315 | Earnings Share 2.82 | Revenue Per Share 21.606 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) |
The market value of Delek Logistics Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delek Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delek Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delek Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delek Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.