International General Insurance Stock Price Prediction
| IGIC Stock | USD 26.58 0.21 0.80% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.157 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.015 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
Using International General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International General Insurance from the perspective of International General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards International General using International General's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards International using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of International General's stock price.
International General Implied Volatility | 1.17 |
International General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of International General Insurance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if International General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that International General stock will not fluctuate a lot when International General's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in International General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
International General after-hype prediction price | USD 26.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current International contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that International General Insurance will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0731% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With International General trading at USD 26.58, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating International General's daily price movement you should consider acquiring International General Insurance options at the current volatility level of 1.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
International |
International General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International General's historical news coverage. International General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.63 and 28.19, respectively. We have considered International General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International General is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International General is based on 3 months time horizon.
International General Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.76 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.58 | 26.41 | 0.15 |
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International General Hype Timeline
International General is currently traded for 26.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. International is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on International General is about 456.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.60. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 471.96 M. Net Income was 118.19 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 211 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out International General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.International General Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International General's future price movements. Getting to know how International General's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | (0.89) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.41 | (0.28) | 1.05 | |
| EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.12 | 2.98 | (2.32) | 8.22 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.25 | (2.18) | 6.24 | |
| WDH | Waterdrop ADR | (0.02) | 6 per month | 2.23 | 0.05 | 5.31 | (3.54) | 19.86 | |
| FGF | Fundamental Global | 4.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.45 | (11.31) | 26.81 | |
| BBSEY | BB Seguridade Participacoes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.15 | 2.65 | (1.87) | 9.65 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.63) | 9 per month | 2.06 | 0.05 | 4.49 | (3.70) | 9.34 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | 0.80 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.14 | (2.37) | 5.09 | |
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
International General Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About International General Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of International General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International General Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International General based on analysis of International General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to International General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to International General's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0279 | 0.003162 | 0.002846 | 0.002704 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.94 | 1.17 | 1.35 | 1.28 |
Story Coverage note for International General
The number of cover stories for International General depends on current market conditions and International General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International General Short Properties
International General's future price predictability will typically decrease when International General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International General Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 297.6 M |
Complementary Tools for International Stock analysis
When running International General's price analysis, check to measure International General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International General is operating at the current time. Most of International General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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