Gxo Logistics Stock Price Prediction
| GXO Stock | USD 40.16 1.02 2.61% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.373 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4857 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4726 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9895 | Wall Street Target Price 52.2189 |
Using GXO Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GXO Logistics from the perspective of GXO Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GXO Logistics using GXO Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GXO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GXO Logistics' stock price.
GXO Logistics Short Interest
An investor who is long GXO Logistics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GXO Logistics and may potentially protect profits, hedge GXO Logistics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.821 | Short Percent 0.0699 | Short Ratio 3.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.5 M | 50 Day MA 42.1258 |
GXO Logistics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GXO Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GXO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GXO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GXO Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GXO Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GXO Logistics.
GXO Logistics Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
GXO Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GXO Logistics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GXO Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GXO Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when GXO Logistics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GXO Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GXO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GXO Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 40.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GXO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GXO Logistics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With GXO Logistics trading at USD 40.16, that is roughly USD 0.0233 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GXO Logistics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring GXO Logistics options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
GXO |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GXO Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GXO Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GXO Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GXO Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GXO Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GXO Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GXO Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GXO Logistics' historical news coverage. GXO Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.53 and 43.57, respectively. We have considered GXO Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GXO Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GXO Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
GXO Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GXO Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GXO Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GXO Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 3.02 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.16 | 40.55 | 0.97 |
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GXO Logistics Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 GXO Logistics is traded for 40.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. GXO is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 40.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 176.61%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.97%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on GXO Logistics is about 252.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.88. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.71 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 134 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.86 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out GXO Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GXO Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GXO Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GXO Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how GXO Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GXO Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FWRD | Forward Air | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.61 | (6.28) | 21.86 | |
| LSTR | Landstar System | (2.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.06 | (2.57) | 8.73 | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport | (5.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.70 | (3.25) | 10.22 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | (0.65) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.17 | (2.47) | 8.61 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | 0.28 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (2.23) | 11.46 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 0.54 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.01 | (3.55) | 7.02 |
GXO Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GXO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GXO using various technical indicators. When you analyze GXO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GXO Logistics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GXO Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GXO Logistics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GXO Logistics based on analysis of GXO Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GXO Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GXO Logistics's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 66.85 | 66.22 | 57.23 | 72.55 | PTB Ratio | 1.89 | 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.76 |
Story Coverage note for GXO Logistics
The number of cover stories for GXO Logistics depends on current market conditions and GXO Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GXO Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GXO Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GXO Logistics Short Properties
GXO Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when GXO Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GXO Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GXO Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GXO Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 413 M |
Check out GXO Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GXO Logistics. If investors know GXO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GXO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.373 | Earnings Share 1.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.255 | Return On Assets |
The market value of GXO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GXO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GXO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GXO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GXO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GXO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GXO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GXO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GXO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.