GXO Logistics Earnings Estimate

GXO Stock  USD 40.16  1.02  2.61%   
The next projected EPS of GXO Logistics is estimated to be 0.2681 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.2176 to a high of 0.3449. GXO Logistics' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.12. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for GXO Logistics is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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GXO Logistics is projected to generate 0.2681 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2025. GXO Logistics earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected GXO Logistics EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on GXO Logistics' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as GXO Logistics, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

GXO Logistics Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing GXO Logistics' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across GXO Logistics' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, GXO Logistics' Pretax Profit Margin is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 17th of March 2025, Operating Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.02, while Gross Profit is likely to drop about 1.2 B.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in GXO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.

GXO Logistics Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of GXO Logistics' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of GXO Logistics is estimated to be 0.2681 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.2176 to a high of 0.3449. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for GXO Logistics is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.0
0.22
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.2681
0.34
Highest

GXO Logistics Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of GXO Logistics' value are higher than the current market price of the GXO Logistics stock. In this case, investors may conclude that GXO Logistics is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and GXO Logistics' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1893.71%
1.0
0.2681
1.12

GXO Logistics Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by GXO Logistics analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge GXO Logistics' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only GXO Logistics' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

GXO Logistics Quarterly Gross Profit

513 Million

As of the 17th of March 2025, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 40.70, while Retained Earnings are likely to drop about 371.1 M. As of the 17th of March 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 127.3 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 237.9 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GXO Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5340.5543.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.1446.8649.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.0940.1143.13
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.0666.0073.26
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of GXO assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards GXO Logistics. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving GXO Logistics' stock price in the short term.

GXO Logistics Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of GXO Logistics refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering GXO Logistics predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of GXO Logistics, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

GXO Logistics Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as GXO Logistics, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of GXO Logistics should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

GXO Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact GXO Logistics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-02-13
2024-12-310.94511.00.0549
2024-11-05
2024-09-300.76950.790.0205
2024-08-06
2024-06-300.540.550.01
2024-05-07
2024-03-310.430.450.02
2024-02-13
2023-12-310.690.70.01
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.660.690.03
2023-08-02
2023-06-300.610.70.0914 
2023-05-09
2023-03-310.430.490.0613 
2023-02-14
2022-12-310.750.830.0810 
2022-11-08
2022-09-300.690.750.06
2022-08-02
2022-06-300.610.680.0711 
2022-05-04
2022-03-310.520.590.0713 
2022-02-15
2021-12-310.520.730.2140 
2021-11-01
2021-09-300.510.560.05
2021-08-09
2021-06-300.3342-0.27-0.6042180 
2021-06-09
2021-03-3100.220.22

About GXO Logistics Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of GXO Logistics earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current GXO Logistics estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as GXO Logistics fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings686 M371.1 M
Retained Earnings Total Equity371.4 M246.9 M
Earnings Yield 0.03  0.02 
Price Earnings Ratio 38.76  40.70 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(0.92)(0.88)

Pair Trading with GXO Logistics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if GXO Logistics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in GXO Logistics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with GXO Stock

Moving against GXO Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to GXO Logistics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace GXO Logistics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back GXO Logistics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling GXO Logistics to buy it.
The correlation of GXO Logistics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as GXO Logistics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if GXO Logistics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for GXO Logistics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether GXO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GXO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gxo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gxo Logistics Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in GXO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GXO Logistics. If investors know GXO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GXO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.373
Earnings Share
1.12
Revenue Per Share
98.055
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.255
Return On Assets
0.0241
The market value of GXO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GXO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GXO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GXO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GXO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GXO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GXO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GXO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GXO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.