Gran Tierra Energy Stock Price Prediction
| GTE Stock | USD 4.76 0.17 3.70% |
Momentum 20
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.93) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.33) | Wall Street Target Price 8.065 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.03 |
Using Gran Tierra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gran Tierra Energy from the perspective of Gran Tierra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gran Tierra using Gran Tierra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gran using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gran Tierra's stock price.
Gran Tierra Implied Volatility | 1.29 |
Gran Tierra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gran Tierra Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gran Tierra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gran Tierra stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gran Tierra's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gran Tierra to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gran because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gran Tierra after-hype prediction price | USD 4.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gran |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gran Tierra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gran Tierra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gran Tierra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gran Tierra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gran Tierra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gran Tierra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gran Tierra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gran Tierra's historical news coverage. Gran Tierra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.09 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered Gran Tierra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gran Tierra is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gran Tierra Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gran Tierra Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gran Tierra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gran Tierra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gran Tierra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 3.68 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.76 | 4.77 | 0.21 |
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Gran Tierra Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2025 Gran Tierra Energy is traded for 4.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Gran is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Gran Tierra is about 4279.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 621.85 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.22 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 401.05 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Gran Tierra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gran Tierra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gran Tierra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gran Tierra's future price movements. Getting to know how Gran Tierra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gran Tierra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Gran Tierra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gran price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gran using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gran charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gran Tierra Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gran Tierra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gran Tierra Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gran Tierra based on analysis of Gran Tierra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gran Tierra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gran Tierra's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.87 | 7.08 | 8.14 | 7.74 | PTB Ratio | 0.86 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.53 |
Story Coverage note for Gran Tierra
The number of cover stories for Gran Tierra depends on current market conditions and Gran Tierra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gran Tierra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gran Tierra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gran Tierra Short Properties
Gran Tierra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gran Tierra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gran Tierra Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gran Tierra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gran Tierra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Gran Stock analysis
When running Gran Tierra's price analysis, check to measure Gran Tierra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gran Tierra is operating at the current time. Most of Gran Tierra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gran Tierra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gran Tierra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gran Tierra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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