Gran Tierra Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GTE Stock | USD 6.88 0.11 1.62% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gran Tierra Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gran Tierra buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GTE positions.
Check out Gran Tierra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gran and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Gran Tierra Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Gran |
Execute Gran Tierra Buy or Sell Advice
The Gran recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gran Tierra Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gran Tierra Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gran Tierra's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Gran Tierra Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gran Tierra Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Gran Tierra Energy has 555.14 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.46, which is OK given its current industry classification. Gran Tierra Energy has a current ratio of 0.71, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Gran to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 636.96 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (6.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 538.81 M. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Ryan Ellson of 242 shares of Gran Tierra at 6.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Gran Tierra Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gran Tierra's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gran Tierra's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gran Tierra daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gran Tierra Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gran Tierra returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gran Tierra.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.69 | Potential Upside | 4.84 | Standard Deviation | 3.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gran Tierra historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gran Tierra Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.2M) | (2.6M) | (2.4M) | (4.2M) | (3.7M) | (3.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (43.2M) | 6.4M | 13.9M | 102.0M | (62.3M) | (59.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (279.4M) | (15.2M) | 95.0M | 191.1M | 9.1M | 9.6M | |
| Depreciation | 225.0M | 164.2M | 139.9M | 180.3M | 215.6M | 175.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (33.8M) | 733.7M | 18.8M | 9.7M | 4.6M | 4.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 457.1M | 96.3M | 149.9M | 236.6M | 218.9M | 220.0M | |
| Net Income | 38.7M | (778.0M) | 42.5M | 139.0M | (6.3M) | (6.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.1M | 17.5M | 31.4M | 133.4M | 71.0M | 113.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 54.1M | 34.7M | 5.7M | 39.4M | 45.3M | 75.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 282.6M | 71.3M | (122.7M) | (17.3M) | (15.5M) | (14.8M) | |
| Investments | (464.9M) | (144.9M) | 43.1M | (210.3M) | (240.6M) | (228.6M) |
Gran Tierra Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gran Tierra or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gran Tierra's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gran stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Gran Tierra Volatility Alert
Gran Tierra Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of 1.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gran Tierra's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gran Tierra's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gran Tierra Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gran Tierra's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gran Tierra's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gran Tierra and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gran Tierra or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gran Tierra's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gran Tierra by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gran Tierra to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gran Tierra | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0651 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 716.34 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 36.46 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 43.18 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.17 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 636.96 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 538.81 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 377.55 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (6.29 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 126.87 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.33 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 555.14 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.46 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.72 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 227.99 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.50 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.43 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.23 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.07 | |
| Number Of Employees | 351 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.57 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 250.85 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.33 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (863.03 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (147.79 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Phillip Abraham of 387 shares of Gran Tierra at 6.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Gran Tierra Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gran . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Gran Tierra Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gran Tierra Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Gran Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Gran Tierra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gran Tierra. If investors know Gran will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gran Tierra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share 19.878 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets 0.0651 |
The market value of Gran Tierra Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gran that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gran Tierra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gran Tierra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gran Tierra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gran Tierra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gran Tierra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gran Tierra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gran Tierra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.