Esquire Financial Holdings Stock Price Prediction

ESQ Stock  USD 77.92  0.40  0.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Esquire Financial's stock price is slightly above 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Esquire, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Esquire Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Esquire Financial Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Esquire Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.145
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.34
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.1567
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.51
Wall Street Target Price
73.5
Using Esquire Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esquire Financial Holdings from the perspective of Esquire Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Esquire Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Esquire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Esquire Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Esquire Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esquire Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.1372.1885.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.1079.1581.20
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.3357.5063.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.281.381.30
Details

Esquire Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Esquire Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esquire Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Esquire Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Esquire Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Esquire Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esquire Financial's historical news coverage. Esquire Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.37 and 80.47, respectively. We have considered Esquire Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
77.92
78.42
After-hype Price
80.47
Upside
Esquire Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esquire Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Esquire Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esquire Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esquire Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esquire Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
2.05
  0.50 
  0.02 
7 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.92
78.42
0.64 
183.04  
Notes

Esquire Financial Hype Timeline

On the 4th of December Esquire Financial is traded for 77.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Esquire is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 183.04%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Esquire Financial is about 4356.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.90. The company reported the last year's revenue of 109 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 41.01 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 80.78 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Esquire Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Esquire Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Esquire Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esquire Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Esquire Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esquire Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.12  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.36 (1.20) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.17 (3.07) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital(0.40)8 per month 2.08 (0.01) 6.30 (4.11) 14.42 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.14)11 per month 1.14  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp 1.79 4 per month 1.55  0.06  4.78 (2.77) 11.90 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.39)6 per month 1.76 (0) 4.14 (2.96) 11.90 
NECBNortheast Community Bancorp(1.03)9 per month 1.82  0.13  3.59 (3.42) 12.18 
MBCNMiddlefield Banc 0.04 6 per month 2.48  0.03  3.93 (2.91) 17.45 
FBIZFirst Business Financial 0.26 9 per month 1.78  0.03  3.90 (3.58) 16.67 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.00 4 per month 1.05  0.1  3.20 (1.66) 5.94 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
PKBKParke Bancorp 0.06 9 per month 1.09  0.06  2.28 (1.88) 9.72 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.1  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp(0.06)9 per month 0.57  0.12  1.94 (1.29) 5.98 

Esquire Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Esquire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esquire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esquire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Esquire Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Esquire Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Esquire Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Esquire Financial based on analysis of Esquire Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Esquire Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Esquire Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0096470.00646
Price To Sales Ratio4.24.6

Story Coverage note for Esquire Financial

The number of cover stories for Esquire Financial depends on current market conditions and Esquire Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Esquire Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Esquire Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Esquire Financial Short Properties

Esquire Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Esquire Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Esquire Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Esquire Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esquire Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.3 M

Additional Tools for Esquire Stock Analysis

When running Esquire Financial's price analysis, check to measure Esquire Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esquire Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Esquire Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esquire Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esquire Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esquire Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.